Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB
Next: vs Atlanta Falcons,
▼ His role has shrunk lately: less time on the field than his season average.
Quick read
- 15+ completions in 8 of his last 10.
- Atlanta Falcons allow the 4th most passing yards to quarterbacks: a soft matchup.
This week vs Atlanta Falcons
· TB favored by 2.5 · TB expected to score 23 · total 43.5
ATL allow 271.4 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 29th fewest of 32. #29 A soft matchup for Baker Mayfield.
Ranks run 1 to 32: 1st is the toughest defense, 32nd the softest. Full matchup
How often he clears 198.5 passing yards
Over 198.5, a number just under his recent middle. Pro lets you check any number, Overs or Unders, and filter by home, away or opponent.
- Last 53 of 5 (60%)
- Last 105 of 10 (50%)
- Latest season2 of 4 (50%)
- vs ATL1 of 2 (50%)
- Home7 of 10 (70%)
- Away5 of 11 (45%)
Past games only, oldest on the left, the week or date under each bar; faded bars are last season. How often a player cleared a number is useful context, not a prediction.
His lines this week
The number each book has posted, the best price for each side, what that price needs to break even, and how often he has cleared the number. Our chance for each side is a Pro column: see plans.
Passing yards 215.5 DraftKings · opened 216.5
| Side | Best price | Needs | Last 5 | Last 10 | Season | Book says | Our chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | -113 DraftKings | 53% | 2/5 | 4/10 | 2/4 | 50% | Pro |
| Under | 216.5 -114 FanDuel | 53% | 3/5 | 6/10 | 2/4 | 50% | Pro |
DraftKings 215.5 (-113 / -111) · FanDuel 216.5 (-114 / -114)
Rushing yards 16.5 DraftKings
| Side | Best price | Needs | Last 5 | Last 10 | Season | Book says | Our chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | -108 DraftKings | 52% | 3/5 | 6/10 | 2/4 | 49% | Pro |
| Under | -114 FanDuel | 53% | 2/5 | 4/10 | 2/4 | 51% | Pro |
DraftKings 16.5 (-108 / -116) · FanDuel 16.5 (-114 / -114)
Every priced prop on the board · 21+ · Gamble responsibly.
Game log
| Week | Opponent | Result | Completions | Passing yards | Passing TD | Interceptions | Rushing yards | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ CAR | W 43-13 | 7 of 11 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 90% |
| 3 | vs MIN | L 16-23 | 17 of 34 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 94% |
| 2 | vs CLE | L 19-23 | 21 of 34 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 100% |
| 1 | @ CIN | L 27-33 | 23 of 28 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 18 | vs CAR | W 16-14 | 16 of 22 | 203 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 17 | @ MIA | L 17-20 | 33 of 44 | 346 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 16 | @ CAR | L 20-23 | 18 of 26 | 145 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 15 | vs ATL | L 28-29 | 19 of 34 | 277 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 14 | vs NO | L 20-24 | 14 of 30 | 122 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 13 | vs ARI | W 20-17 | 18 of 28 | 194 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 12 | @ LA | L 7-34 | 9 of 19 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 56% |
| 2025 wk 11 | @ BUF | L 32-44 | 16 of 28 | 173 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 99% |
| 2025 wk 10 | vs NE | L 23-28 | 28 of 43 | 273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 8 | @ NO | W 23-3 | 15 of 24 | 152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97% |
| 2025 wk 7 | @ DET | L 9-24 | 28 of 50 | 228 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 99% |
| 2025 wk 6 | vs SF | W 30-19 | 17 of 23 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 5 | @ SEA | W 38-35 | 29 of 33 | 379 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 4 | vs PHI | L 25-31 | 22 of 40 | 289 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 3 | vs NYJ | W 29-27 | 19 of 29 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 2 | @ HOU | W 20-19 | 25 of 38 | 215 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 100% |
| 2025 wk 1 | @ ATL | W 23-20 | 17 of 32 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 100% |
“On field” is the share of his team’s offensive plays he was in for.
Check a number
Type any number to see the chance Baker Mayfield gets more than it against ATL.