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ARI @ KC

Week 11 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

KC offense vs ARI defense

Per gameKC offenseARI defense allows
Points23.8#1429.7#32
Total yards387.2#5370.0#24
Passing yards245.7#16243.7#21
Rushing yards141.5#5126.3#23
Yards per play6.47#36.12#31
Third downs converted40%#1440%#14
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown56%#1871%#24
Sacks (taken / made)1.2#32.1#19
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#41.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

ARI offense vs KC defense

Per gameARI offenseKC defense allows
Points20.3#2617.2#2
Total yards325.6#23329.0#9
Passing yards229.6#21229.5#12
Rushing yards96.0#2399.5#13
Yards per play4.64#295.06#8
Third downs converted38%#2542%#21
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown44%#3231%#2
Sacks (taken / made)2.1#141.3#29
Turnovers (given / taken)0.9#111.5#4

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Kansas City Chiefs players

Per game this season. The second column is where ARI rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs ARI defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Patrick Mahomes QB#2111.8245.7100%
Kenneth Walker III RB#2319.33.0116.84.574%
Emmett Johnson RB#2318.21.510.31.828%
Xavier Worthy WR#2236.24.05.886%
Rashee Rice WR ▲#2263.34.35.778%
Jalen Royals WR ▲#226.80.81.871%
Andrew Armstrong WR#228.01.02.064%
Tyquan Thornton WR ▲IR#2254.82.83.855%
Cyrus Allen WR ▲#2211.30.81.523%
Travis Kelce TEQ#2257.24.05.875%
Noah Gray TE#2226.32.02.359%

Arizona Cardinals players

Per game this season. The second column is where KC rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs KC defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jacoby Brissett QB#121.00.111.4228.60.1100%
Tyler Allgeier RB ▲Q#512.02.325.12.452%
Bam Knight RB ▲#58.31.340.01.849%
Jeremiyah Love RBQ#57.22.249.02.847%
Michael Wilson WRQ#453.65.31.69.491%
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR#421.31.33.371%
Jalen Brooks WR ▲IR#413.50.82.859%
Kendrick Bourne WR#439.04.26.057%
Trey McBride TE#2767.48.411.195%
Elijah Higgins TE#2723.52.32.346%
Hunter Long TEIR#273.80.50.532%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Jacoby Brissett ARI vs DAL1.578%45%19%O/U 1.5 (-180 / +135) · our Over chance 45% · book's no-vig 60%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs DEN1.372%36%14%O/U 1.5 (+166 / -215) · our Over chance 36% · book's no-vig 36%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Tough spot: KC allow only 122.0 receiving yards a game to receivers, 4th fewest. Michael Wilson averages 53.6.
  • Tough spot: KC allow only 73.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, 5th fewest. Jeremiyah Love averages 49.0.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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