DEN @ PIT
Week 12 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
PIT offense vs DEN defense
| Per game | PIT offense | DEN defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.9#22 | 20.1#7 |
| Total yards | 348.9#18 | 369.3#23 |
| Passing yards | 242.7#18 | 236.0#17 |
| Rushing yards | 106.1#20 | 133.3#28 |
| Yards per play | 5.22#21 | 5.12#10 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#22 | 43%#22 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 50%#28 | 46%#5 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.1#28 | 3.0#4 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.0#15 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
DEN offense vs PIT defense
| Per game | DEN offense | PIT defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.6#25 | 19.7#5 |
| Total yards | 276.4#31 | 321.0#7 |
| Passing yards | 181.6#28 | 230.0#13 |
| Rushing yards | 94.9#24 | 91.0#7 |
| Yards per play | 4.81#27 | 5.04#7 |
| Third downs converted | 32%#31 | 35%#7 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 63%#13 | 46%#6 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.3#4 | 2.6#10 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#7 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Pittsburgh Steelers players
Per game this season. The second column is where DEN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs DEN defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers QB | #17 | 3.3 | 242.7 | 100% | |||
| Jaylen Warren RB | #21 | 42.0 | 3.4 | 80.1 | 4.9 | 69% | |
| Rico Dowdle RB | #21 | 20.5 | 3.3 | 29.5 | 4.3 | 36% | |
| DK Metcalf WR | #11 | 53.4 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 94% | |
| Germie Bernard WR ▲ | #11 | 42.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 93% | |
| Michael Pittman WR ▼IR | #11 | 29.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 73% | ||
| Brandon Smith WR | #11 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 49% | ||
| Roman Wilson WR ▼IR | #11 | 37.6 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 32% | ||
| Darnell Washington TE | #25 | 22.9 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 64% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth TE | #25 | 28.6 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 63% |
Denver Broncos players
Per game this season. The second column is where PIT rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs PIT defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix QB | #13 | 15.7 | 181.6 | 100% | |||
| Jonah Coleman RB ▲ | #6 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 31.0 | 1.7 | 49% | |
| J.K. Dobbins RB ▼ | #6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 41.9 | 1.3 | 38% | |
| RJ Harvey RBQ | #6 | 36.2 | 4.2 | 14.5 | 4.7 | 33% | |
| Courtland Sutton WR | #16 | 24.0 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 74% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle WRQ | #16 | 39.4 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 61% | |
| Pat Bryant WRIR | #16 | 33.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 53% | |
| Troy Franklin WR ▲ | #16 | 11.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 49% | |
| Marvin Mims Jr. WR | #16 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 27% | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR ▲ | #16 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 25% | ||
| Adam Trautman TE ▲ | #8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 61% | ||
| Evan Engram TE ▼ | #8 | 19.4 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 46% | ||
| Nate Adkins TE | #8 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 39% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers PIT vs CLE | 1.3 | 73% | 38% | 14% | O/U 1.5 (+150 / -200) · our Over chance 38% · book's no-vig 38% |
| Bo Nix DEN vs KC | 1.1 | 69% | 32% | 11% | O/U 1.5 (+160 / -215) · our Over chance 32% · book's no-vig 36% |
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What stands out
- Tough spot: PIT allow only 75.4 rushing yards a game to running backs, 6th fewest. J.K. Dobbins averages 41.9.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.