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MIA @ DEN

Week 13 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

DEN offense vs MIA defense

Per gameDEN offenseMIA defense allows
Points20.6#2526.2#25
Total yards276.4#31346.3#16
Passing yards181.6#28236.2#18
Rushing yards94.9#24110.2#16
Yards per play4.81#275.96#26
Third downs converted32%#3154%#31
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown63%#1365%#19
Sacks (taken / made)1.3#41.0#32
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#70.8#29

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

MIA offense vs DEN defense

Per gameMIA offenseDEN defense allows
Points16.3#3020.1#7
Total yards307.7#28369.3#23
Passing yards176.2#30236.0#17
Rushing yards131.5#7133.3#28
Yards per play5.25#205.12#10
Third downs converted41%#1143%#22
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1546%#5
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#233.0#4
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#211.4#8

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Denver Broncos players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIA defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Bo Nix QB#1815.7181.6100%
Jonah Coleman RB ▲#2211.31.731.01.749%
J.K. Dobbins RB ▼#223.91.141.91.338%
RJ Harvey RBQ#2236.24.214.54.733%
Courtland Sutton WR#324.02.34.774%
Jaylen Waddle WRQ#339.43.73.36.461%
Pat Bryant WRIR#333.32.34.03.053%
Troy Franklin WR ▲#311.00.80.81.549%
Marvin Mims Jr. WR#316.41.41.22.227%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR ▲#34.30.71.325%
Adam Trautman TE ▲#293.30.71.761%
Evan Engram TE ▼#2919.41.93.146%
Nate Adkins TE#2910.01.01.51.339%

Miami Dolphins players

Per game this season. The second column is where DEN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs DEN defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Malik Willis QB#1737.2176.2100%
Ollie Gordon II RB ▲#212.81.267.81.674%
De'Von Achane RB ▼IR#2116.32.342.34.041%
DJ Herman RB#219.00.51.533%
Jaylen Wright RB#217.20.213%
Malik Washington WRQ#1148.24.36.36.580%
Caleb Douglas WR ▼#1161.03.04.368%
Chris Bell WR#1119.51.34.33.260%
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR#117.21.03.640%
Jalen Tolbert WR#1111.00.51.523%
Greg Dulcich TEQ#2542.63.64.470%
Will Kacmarek TEQ#254.80.61.238%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Bo Nix DEN vs KC1.169%32%11%O/U 1.5 (+160 / -215) · our Over chance 32% · book's no-vig 36%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE1.166%30%10%O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65%

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What stands out

  • Tough spot: MIA allow only 115.5 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd fewest. Jaylen Waddle averages 39.4.

Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

Best bet

No player bet for this game.

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

None at a fair price.

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No line yet.

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