BUF @ DEN
Week 16 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
DEN offense vs BUF defense
| Per game | DEN offense | BUF defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.6#25 | 28.5#30 |
| Total yards | 276.4#31 | 399.7#31 |
| Passing yards | 181.6#28 | 298.7#31 |
| Rushing yards | 94.9#24 | 101.0#15 |
| Yards per play | 4.81#27 | 5.66#21 |
| Third downs converted | 32%#31 | 46%#26 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 63%#13 | 73%#27 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.3#4 | 1.8#22 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#7 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
BUF offense vs DEN defense
| Per game | BUF offense | DEN defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 32.8#1 | 20.1#7 |
| Total yards | 399.5#4 | 369.3#23 |
| Passing yards | 250.7#11 | 236.0#17 |
| Rushing yards | 148.8#2 | 133.3#28 |
| Yards per play | 6.60#1 | 5.12#10 |
| Third downs converted | 49%#4 | 43%#22 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 74%#3 | 46%#5 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.0#12 | 3.0#4 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.5#24 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Denver Broncos players
Per game this season. The second column is where BUF rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs BUF defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix QB | #31 | 15.7 | 181.6 | 100% | |||
| Jonah Coleman RB ▲ | #13 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 31.0 | 1.7 | 49% | |
| J.K. Dobbins RB ▼ | #13 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 41.9 | 1.3 | 38% | |
| RJ Harvey RBQ | #13 | 36.2 | 4.2 | 14.5 | 4.7 | 33% | |
| Courtland Sutton WR | #26 | 24.0 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 74% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle WRQ | #26 | 39.4 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 61% | |
| Pat Bryant WRIR | #26 | 33.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 53% | |
| Troy Franklin WR ▲ | #26 | 11.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 49% | |
| Marvin Mims Jr. WR | #26 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 27% | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR ▲ | #26 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 25% | ||
| Adam Trautman TE ▲ | #30 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 61% | ||
| Evan Engram TE ▼ | #30 | 19.4 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 46% | ||
| Nate Adkins TE | #30 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 39% |
Buffalo Bills players
Per game this season. The second column is where DEN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs DEN defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | #17 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 40.0 | 250.7 | 0.2 | 100% |
| James Cook RB | #21 | 14.8 | 1.7 | 104.5 | 2.3 | 64% | |
| Ty Johnson RB | #21 | 38.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 20% | |
| Ray Davis RBQ | #21 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 15% | |
| Keon Coleman WR ▲ | #11 | 47.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 78% | ||
| Khalil Shakir WR | #11 | 48.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 65% | ||
| Skyler Bell WR | #11 | 1.5 | 53% | ||||
| DJ Moore WRQ | #11 | 44.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 52% | |
| Josh Palmer WR ▼ | #11 | 29.3 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 25% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid TEQ | #25 | 52.5 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 71% | ||
| Dawson Knox TE | #25 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 70% | ||
| Jackson Hawes TE | #25 | 0.3 | 41% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix DEN vs KC | 1.1 | 69% | 32% | 11% | O/U 1.5 (+160 / -215) · our Over chance 32% · book's no-vig 36% |
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What stands out
- Soft spot: BUF allow 298.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most. Bo Nix averages 181.6.
- Soft spot: BUF allow 173.8 receiving yards a game to receivers, 7th most. Jaylen Waddle averages 39.4.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.