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DEN @ NE

Week 17 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

NE offense vs DEN defense

Per gameNE offenseDEN defense allows
Points22.9#1920.1#7
Total yards383.4#7369.3#23
Passing yards261.4#9236.0#17
Rushing yards122.0#11133.3#28
Yards per play6.15#45.12#10
Third downs converted41%#1243%#22
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown55%#2146%#5
Sacks (taken / made)1.9#113.0#4
Turnovers (given / taken)2.0#311.4#8

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

DEN offense vs NE defense

Per gameDEN offenseNE defense allows
Points20.6#2520.4#9
Total yards276.4#31334.3#13
Passing yards181.6#28239.0#19
Rushing yards94.9#2495.3#8
Yards per play4.81#275.41#15
Third downs converted32%#3137%#8
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown63%#1359%#13
Sacks (taken / made)1.3#42.4#12
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#71.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

New England Patriots players

Per game this season. The second column is where DEN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs DEN defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Drake Maye QB#1730.1254.9100%
Rhamondre Stevenson RB#2129.12.940.73.465%
TreVeyon Henderson RB ▼Q#217.50.833.81.224%
Corey Kiner RB ▲#212.30.321.60.315%
A.J. Brown WR ▲Q#1133.73.06.784%
Efton Chism III WR ▲#1119.01.70.32.563%
DeMario Douglas WR#1136.63.34.962%
Mack Hollins WR ▼IR#1152.33.85.059%
Kyle Williams WR ▲#1121.00.91.738%
Hunter Henry TE#2542.33.74.476%
Eli Raridon TE#2528.02.02.756%
Cameron Latu TE ▲#2526%

Denver Broncos players

Per game this season. The second column is where NE rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs NE defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Bo Nix QB#1915.7181.6100%
Jonah Coleman RB ▲#1411.31.731.01.749%
J.K. Dobbins RB ▼#143.91.141.91.338%
RJ Harvey RBQ#1436.24.214.54.733%
Courtland Sutton WR#1824.02.34.774%
Jaylen Waddle WRQ#1839.43.73.36.461%
Pat Bryant WRIR#1833.32.34.03.053%
Troy Franklin WR ▲#1811.00.80.81.549%
Marvin Mims Jr. WR#1816.41.41.22.227%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR ▲#184.30.71.325%
Adam Trautman TE ▲#183.30.71.761%
Evan Engram TE ▼#1819.41.93.146%
Nate Adkins TE#1810.01.01.51.339%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Drake Maye NE vs MIA1.681%49%23%O/U 1.5 (-140 / +105) · our Over chance 49% · book's no-vig 54%
Bo Nix DEN vs KC1.169%32%11%O/U 1.5 (+160 / -215) · our Over chance 32% · book's no-vig 36%

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