NYJ @ KC
Week 9 · · KC -9.5 · total 43.5
Offense vs defense rankings
KC offense vs NYJ defense
| Per game | KC offense | NYJ defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.8#14 | 21.4#13 |
| Total yards | 387.2#5 | 330.6#10 |
| Passing yards | 245.7#16 | 202.9#5 |
| Rushing yards | 141.5#5 | 127.7#24 |
| Yards per play | 6.47#3 | 5.02#6 |
| Third downs converted | 40%#14 | 39%#12 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 56%#18 | 58%#12 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.2#3 | 2.7#8 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#4 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
NYJ offense vs KC defense
| Per game | NYJ offense | KC defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.6#27 | 17.2#2 |
| Total yards | 328.3#22 | 329.0#9 |
| Passing yards | 231.9#20 | 229.5#12 |
| Rushing yards | 96.4#22 | 99.5#13 |
| Yards per play | 5.30#19 | 5.06#8 |
| Third downs converted | 38%#24 | 42%#21 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 50%#28 | 31%#2 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.0#25 | 1.3#29 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#7 | 1.5#4 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Kansas City Chiefs players
Per game this season. The second column is where NYJ rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs NYJ defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes QB | #5 | 11.8 | 245.7 | 100% | |||
| Kenneth Walker III RB | #27 | 19.3 | 3.0 | 116.8 | 4.5 | 74% | |
| Emmett Johnson RB | #27 | 18.2 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 28% | |
| Xavier Worthy WR | #9 | 36.2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 86% | ||
| Rashee Rice WR ▲ | #9 | 63.3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 78% | ||
| Jalen Royals WR ▲ | #9 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 71% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong WR | #9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 64% | ||
| Tyquan Thornton WR ▲IR | #9 | 54.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 55% | ||
| Cyrus Allen WR ▲ | #9 | 11.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 23% | ||
| Travis Kelce TEQ | #16 | 57.2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 75% | ||
| Noah Gray TE | #16 | 26.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 59% |
New York Jets players
Per game this season. The second column is where KC rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs KC defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith QB | #12 | 6.0 | 231.9 | 100% | |||
| Braelon Allen RB ▲ | #5 | 10.7 | 2.1 | 59.7 | 2.9 | 83% | |
| Breece Hall RBQ | #5 | 34.0 | 3.3 | 54.3 | 3.3 | 57% | |
| Isaiah Davis RB ▲ | #5 | 11.3 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 18% | |
| Garrett Wilson WR ▼ | #4 | 63.4 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 92% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. WR ▲ | #4 | 82.7 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 73% | ||
| Tim Patrick WR ▼ | #4 | 20.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 69% | ||
| Sterling Shepard WR | #4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 49% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell WR ▼ | #4 | 41.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 44% | ||
| Isaiah Williams WR ▼ | #4 | 21.6 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 19% | |
| Mason Taylor TE | #27 | 29.3 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 59% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert TE | #27 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 39% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq TE | #27 | 23.4 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 36% | |
| Jelani Woods TE ▼ | #27 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 23% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith NYJ vs LV | 1.5 | 78% | 44% | 19% | O/U 1.5 (-110 / -120) · our Over chance 44% · book's no-vig 49% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs DEN | 1.3 | 72% | 36% | 14% | O/U 1.5 (+166 / -215) · our Over chance 36% · book's no-vig 36% |
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Where and weather
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. 66°F, wind 11 mph, 22% chance of rain.
What stands out
- Tough spot: KC allow only 122.0 receiving yards a game to receivers, 4th fewest. Omar Cooper Jr. averages 82.7.
- Tough spot: KC allow only 73.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, 5th fewest. Braelon Allen averages 59.7.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.For members.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge