IND @ MIA
· MIA -8.5 · total 237.5
The matchup
| Per game | IND | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 115.0#13 | 113.0#19 |
| Points allowed | 114.8#13 | 120.8#7 |
| Pace (possessions) | 105.6#11 | 107.0#7 |
Where each side should score
Points a game each defense gives up to guards, forwards and centers. Green is a soft spot to attack, red a tough one.
| Position | IND players vs MIA | MIA players vs IND |
|---|---|---|
| Guards | 65.2#28 | 54.2#10 |
| Forwards | 46.0#20 | 41.8#10 |
| Centers | 12.0#8 | 18.8#21 |
2026-27 season numbers. #1 is the best of 30 teams.
Player Stats
Miami Heat
| Player | Points | Last 5 | Rebounds | Assists | Threes | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell G | 16.4 | 16.4 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 34.0 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo F | 27.6 | 27.6 | 11.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 31.6 |
| Bam Adebayo C | 14.2 | 14.2 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 31.2 |
| Pelle Larsson G | 10.6 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 30.8 |
| Andrew Wiggins F | 10.6 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 26.8 |
| Bobby Portis F | 10.4 | 10.4 | 8.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 24.0 |
| Klay Thompson G | 7.8 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 19.8 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. G | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 19.6 |
Per game, 2026-27. “Last 5” is his points over his five most recent games. ▲ ▼ mark minutes going up or down. Tap a player for his game log.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | Points | Last 5 | Rebounds | Assists | Threes | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam F | 24.0 | 24.0 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 32.2 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. G | 9.0 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 24.2 |
| Obi Toppin F | 15.2 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 23.0 |
| Jarace Walker F | 5.6 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 21.2 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 18.4 |
| Larry Nance Jr. F ▲ | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 14.0 |
Per game, 2026-27. “Last 5” is his points over his five most recent games. ▲ ▼ mark minutes going up or down. Tap a player for his game log.
Cheat sheet
IND @ MIA chalk combo Beta
Lines priced around -200 to -500 that each player has cleared in at least 8 of his last 10 games, put together within one game so the combo pays between roughly +100 and +200; the bands are guidance, so a leg or a combo a little outside them still makes the cut when the numbers are good. Our chance is the legs multiplied; each price is that leg’s best book, and a same-game parlay at one book will price a touch differently.
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Every game lately
The highest number each player has reached in every one of his recent games. Softest defenses first; injured players left off.
- O. Toppin IND @ MIA: 12+ Points6/6 games
- D. Mitchell MIA vs IND: 10+ Points7/7 gamesTough matchup: IND allow the 21st most points to guards
Research, not picks. In 2025-26, lines like these were reached again the next game 82% of the time, and sportsbooks usually price them at about that chance or higher.
Every time vs this opponent
What each player has reached every time he faced tonight’s opponent recently.
- K. Oubre Jr. IND @ MIA: 10+ Points2/2 vs MIASoft matchup: MIA allow the 3rd most points to guards
Research, not picks. In 2025-26, lines like these against the same opponent were reached again the next game only 54% of the time.
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Our picks for this game
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.For members.
MIA -8.5 · total 237.5. We don’t call NBA spreads or totals yet: there is no tested record to stand behind.