KC @ ATL
Week 10 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
ATL offense vs KC defense
| Per game | ATL offense | KC defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.4#10 | 17.2#2 |
| Total yards | 351.1#17 | 329.0#9 |
| Passing yards | 211.3#24 | 229.5#12 |
| Rushing yards | 139.9#6 | 99.5#13 |
| Yards per play | 5.68#10 | 5.06#8 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#20 | 42%#21 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 67%#11 | 31%#2 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.3#17 | 1.3#29 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.4#22 | 1.5#4 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
KC offense vs ATL defense
| Per game | KC offense | ATL defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.8#14 | 24.7#20 |
| Total yards | 387.2#5 | 360.3#19 |
| Passing yards | 245.7#16 | 271.4#29 |
| Rushing yards | 141.5#5 | 88.9#4 |
| Yards per play | 6.47#3 | 5.27#12 |
| Third downs converted | 40%#14 | 43%#23 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 56%#18 | 67%#20 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.2#3 | 2.4#12 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#4 | 1.3#13 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Atlanta Falcons players
Per game this season. The second column is where KC rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs KC defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. QB | #12 | 0.8 | 231.4 | 100% | |||
| Cooper Rush QB | #12 | 10.0 | 114.5 | 79% | |||
| Bijan Robinson RB ▲ | #5 | 29.0 | 3.6 | 100.6 | 4.6 | 80% | |
| Brian Robinson RB ▼OUT | #5 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 35.2 | 1.0 | 18% | |
| Drake London WR | #4 | 88.0 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 8.0 | 91% | |
| Jahan Dotson WR | #4 | 34.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 71% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR ▲Q | #4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 55% | ||
| Zachariah Branch WR ▲ | #4 | 9.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 35% | |
| Chris Blair WR ▼ | #4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 15% | ||
| Charlie Woerner TE ▲ | #27 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 72% | |
| Kyle Pitts TE ▲ | #27 | 27.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 67% | ||
| Austin Hooper TE | #27 | 13.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 28% | ||
| Nick Muse TE | #27 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 18% |
Kansas City Chiefs players
Per game this season. The second column is where ATL rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs ATL defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes QB | #29 | 11.8 | 245.7 | 100% | |||
| Kenneth Walker III RB | #12 | 19.3 | 3.0 | 116.8 | 4.5 | 74% | |
| Emmett Johnson RB | #12 | 18.2 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 28% | |
| Xavier Worthy WR | #25 | 36.2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 86% | ||
| Rashee Rice WR ▲ | #25 | 63.3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 78% | ||
| Jalen Royals WR ▲ | #25 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 71% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong WR | #25 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 64% | ||
| Tyquan Thornton WR ▲IR | #25 | 54.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 55% | ||
| Cyrus Allen WR ▲ | #25 | 11.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 23% | ||
| Travis Kelce TEQ | #24 | 57.2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 75% | ||
| Noah Gray TE | #24 | 26.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 59% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs DEN | 1.3 | 72% | 36% | 14% | O/U 1.5 (+166 / -215) · our Over chance 36% · book's no-vig 36% |
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What stands out
- Soft spot: ATL allow 271.4 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 4th most. Patrick Mahomes averages 245.7.
- Tough spot: KC allow only 122.0 receiving yards a game to receivers, 4th fewest. Drake London averages 88.0.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.