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MIA @ IND

Week 10 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

IND offense vs MIA defense

Per gameIND offenseMIA defense allows
Points22.0#2026.2#25
Total yards317.3#25346.3#16
Passing yards199.7#25236.2#18
Rushing yards117.6#14110.2#16
Yards per play4.58#315.96#26
Third downs converted40%#1354%#31
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1565%#19
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#241.0#32
Turnovers (given / taken)1.7#280.8#29

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

MIA offense vs IND defense

Per gameMIA offenseIND defense allows
Points16.3#3025.7#23
Total yards307.7#28351.9#17
Passing yards176.2#30227.4#11
Rushing yards131.5#7124.4#22
Yards per play5.25#205.97#28
Third downs converted41%#1130%#4
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1560%#16
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#231.9#21
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#210.4#31

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Indianapolis Colts players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIA defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Daniel Jones QB#189.7199.7100%
Jonathan Taylor RB ▼#2225.42.483.93.773%
Seth McGowan RB ▲#221.70.619.10.728%
Josh Downs WR#343.93.71.06.686%
Laquon Treadwell WR ▲#328.12.13.784%
Keenan Allen WR#343.04.87.260%
Alec Pierce WRIR#336.02.53.543%
Deion Burks WR#311.60.84.21.415%
Tyler Warren TE#2942.66.01.27.290%
Andrew Ogletree TE ▲Q#293.20.61.057%
Mo Alie-Cox TE ▲#297.81.01.551%
Will Mallory TE#2910.01.04.543%

Miami Dolphins players

Per game this season. The second column is where IND rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs IND defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Malik Willis QB#1137.2176.2100%
Ollie Gordon II RB ▲#192.81.267.81.674%
De'Von Achane RB ▼IR#1916.32.342.34.041%
DJ Herman RB#199.00.51.533%
Jaylen Wright RB#197.20.213%
Malik Washington WRQ#1348.24.36.36.580%
Caleb Douglas WR ▼#1361.03.04.368%
Chris Bell WR#1319.51.34.33.260%
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR#137.21.03.640%
Jalen Tolbert WR#1311.00.51.523%
Greg Dulcich TEQ#1242.63.64.470%
Will Kacmarek TEQ#124.80.61.238%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Daniel Jones IND vs JAX1.166%29%10%O/U 0.5 (-230 / +178) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 66%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE1.166%30%10%O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Tough spot: MIA allow only 115.5 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd fewest. Josh Downs averages 43.9.
  • Soft spot: MIA allow 74.7 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 4th most. Tyler Warren averages 42.6.

Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

Best bet

No player bet for this game.

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

None at a fair price.

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

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