ATL @ MIN
Week 12 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
MIN offense vs ATL defense
| Per game | MIN offense | ATL defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.8#24 | 24.7#20 |
| Total yards | 300.7#29 | 360.3#19 |
| Passing yards | 181.3#29 | 271.4#29 |
| Rushing yards | 119.3#12 | 88.9#4 |
| Yards per play | 4.84#24 | 5.27#12 |
| Third downs converted | 38%#23 | 43%#23 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 47%#31 | 67%#20 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.0#25 | 2.4#12 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#4 | 1.3#13 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
ATL offense vs MIN defense
| Per game | ATL offense | MIN defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.4#10 | 12.3#1 |
| Total yards | 351.1#17 | 278.7#2 |
| Passing yards | 211.3#24 | 180.8#2 |
| Rushing yards | 139.9#6 | 97.8#10 |
| Yards per play | 5.68#10 | 4.47#2 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#20 | 28%#3 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 67%#11 | 23%#1 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.3#17 | 3.5#1 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.4#22 | 1.7#3 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Minnesota Vikings players
Per game this season. The second column is where ATL rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs ATL defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray QB | #29 | 30.8 | 198.5 | 100% | |||
| Carson Wentz QB | #29 | 2.5 | 138.0 | 92% | |||
| Jordan Mason RB ▲ | #12 | 63.5 | 1.0 | 64% | |||
| Aaron Jones RB ▼ | #12 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 72.7 | 3.2 | 56% | |
| Justin Jefferson WR ▲ | #25 | 60.4 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 91% | ||
| Jordan Addison WR | #25 | 36.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5.0 | 83% | |
| Jauan Jennings WR ▼ | #25 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 63% | ||
| Tai Felton WR ▼ | #25 | 10.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 37% | ||
| Myles Price WR | #25 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 12% | |
| Ben Yurosek TE | #24 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55% | ||
| Josh Oliver TE ▼IR | #24 | 15.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 51% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson TE ▼ | #24 | 39.5 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 40% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew TE ▲ | #24 | 18.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 37% |
Atlanta Falcons players
Per game this season. The second column is where MIN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs MIN defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. QB | #2 | 0.8 | 231.4 | 100% | |||
| Cooper Rush QB | #2 | 10.0 | 114.5 | 79% | |||
| Bijan Robinson RB ▲ | #15 | 29.0 | 3.6 | 100.6 | 4.6 | 80% | |
| Brian Robinson RB ▼OUT | #15 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 35.2 | 1.0 | 18% | |
| Drake London WR | #5 | 88.0 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 8.0 | 91% | |
| Jahan Dotson WR | #5 | 34.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 71% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR ▲Q | #5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 55% | ||
| Zachariah Branch WR ▲ | #5 | 9.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 35% | |
| Chris Blair WR ▼ | #5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 15% | ||
| Charlie Woerner TE ▲ | #5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 72% | |
| Kyle Pitts TE ▲ | #5 | 27.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 67% | ||
| Austin Hooper TE | #5 | 13.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 28% | ||
| Nick Muse TE | #5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 18% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray MIN vs DET | 1.4 | 75% | 40% | 16% | O/U 1.5 (+111 / -142) · our Over chance 40% · book's no-vig 45% |
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What stands out
- Tough spot: MIN allow only 180.8 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd fewest. Michael Penix Jr. averages 231.4.
- Soft spot: ATL allow 271.4 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 4th most. Kyler Murray averages 198.5.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.