BUF @ NE

Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM ET

Offense vs defense rankings

NE offense vs BUF defense

Per game	NE offense	BUF defense allows
Points	22.9#19	28.5#30
Total yards	383.4#7	399.7#31
Passing yards	261.4#9	298.7#31
Rushing yards	122.0#11	101.0#15
Yards per play	6.15#4	5.66#21
Third downs converted	41%#12	46%#26
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown	55%#21	73%#27
Sacks (taken / made)	1.9#11	1.8#22
Turnovers (given / taken)	2.0#31	1.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

BUF offense vs NE defense

Per game	BUF offense	NE defense allows
Points	32.8#1	20.4#9
Total yards	399.5#4	334.3#13
Passing yards	250.7#11	239.0#19
Rushing yards	148.8#2	95.3#8
Yards per play	6.60#1	5.41#15
Third downs converted	49%#4	37%#8
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown	74%#3	59%#13
Sacks (taken / made)	2.0#12	2.4#12
Turnovers (given / taken)	1.5#24	1.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

New England Patriots players

Per game this season. The second column is where BUF rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Player	vs BUF defense	Receiving yards	Receptions	Rushing yards	Passing yards	Targets	On field
Drake Maye QB	#31			30.1	254.9		100%
Rhamondre Stevenson RB	#13	29.1	2.9	40.7		3.4	65%
TreVeyon Henderson RB ▼Q	#13	7.5	0.8	33.8		1.2	24%
Corey Kiner RB ▲	#13	2.3	0.3	21.6		0.3	15%
A.J. Brown WR ▲Q	#26	33.7	3.0			6.7	84%
Efton Chism III WR ▲	#26	19.0	1.7	0.3		2.5	63%
DeMario Douglas WR	#26	36.6	3.3			4.9	62%
Mack Hollins WR ▼IR	#26	52.3	3.8			5.0	59%
Kyle Williams WR ▲	#26	21.0	0.9			1.7	38%
Hunter Henry TE	#30	42.3	3.7			4.4	76%
Eli Raridon TE	#30	28.0	2.0			2.7	56%
Cameron Latu TE ▲	#30						26%

Buffalo Bills players

Per game this season. The second column is where NE rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Player	vs NE defense	Receiving yards	Receptions	Rushing yards	Passing yards	Targets	On field
Josh Allen QB	#19	0.2	0.2	40.0	250.7	0.2	100%
James Cook RB	#14	14.8	1.7	104.5		2.3	64%
Ty Johnson RB	#14	38.8	3.0	1.5		3.0	20%
Ray Davis RBQ	#14	8.0	0.6	2.4		0.6	15%
Keon Coleman WR ▲	#18	47.2	3.2			4.0	78%
Khalil Shakir WR	#18	48.3	3.7			5.3	65%
Skyler Bell WR	#18					1.5	53%
DJ Moore WRQ	#18	44.5	3.0	1.3		5.0	52%
Josh Palmer WR ▼	#18	29.3	1.0			2.8	25%
Dalton Kincaid TEQ	#18	52.5	3.8			4.8	71%
Dawson Knox TE	#18	6.0	1.3			1.7	70%
Jackson Hawes TE	#18					0.3	41%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

Quarterback	Expected	1+	2+	3+	Book line
Drake Maye NE vs MIA	1.6	81%	49%	23%	O/U 1.5 (-140 / +105) · our Over chance 49% · book's no-vig 54%

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What stands out

Soft spot: BUF allow 298.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most. Drake Maye averages 254.9.
Soft spot: BUF allow 77.5 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 3rd most. Hunter Henry averages 42.3.

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