CHI @ MIA
Week 14 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
MIA offense vs CHI defense
| Per game | MIA offense | CHI defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.3#30 | 20.4#9 |
| Total yards | 307.7#28 | 328.9#8 |
| Passing yards | 176.2#30 | 241.3#20 |
| Rushing yards | 131.5#7 | 87.6#3 |
| Yards per play | 5.25#20 | 6.27#32 |
| Third downs converted | 41%#11 | 26%#1 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 60%#15 | 69%#22 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.7#23 | 2.7#8 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.3#21 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
CHI offense vs MIA defense
| Per game | CHI offense | MIA defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.7#7 | 26.2#25 |
| Total yards | 409.1#3 | 346.3#16 |
| Passing yards | 254.9#10 | 236.2#18 |
| Rushing yards | 154.3#1 | 110.2#16 |
| Yards per play | 5.52#14 | 5.96#26 |
| Third downs converted | 44%#7 | 54%#31 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 53%#25 | 65%#19 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.6#20 | 1.0#32 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.6#25 | 0.8#29 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Miami Dolphins players
Per game this season. The second column is where CHI rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs CHI defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis QB | #20 | 37.2 | 176.2 | 100% | |||
| Ollie Gordon II RB ▲ | #4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 67.8 | 1.6 | 74% | |
| De'Von Achane RB ▼IR | #4 | 16.3 | 2.3 | 42.3 | 4.0 | 41% | |
| DJ Herman RB | #4 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33% | ||
| Jaylen Wright RB | #4 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 13% | |||
| Malik Washington WRQ | #17 | 48.2 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 80% | |
| Caleb Douglas WR ▼ | #17 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 68% | ||
| Chris Bell WR | #17 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 60% | |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. WR | #17 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 40% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert WR | #17 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 23% | ||
| Greg Dulcich TEQ | #19 | 42.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 70% | ||
| Will Kacmarek TEQ | #19 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 38% |
Chicago Bears players
Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs MIA defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | #18 | 32.0 | 255.0 | 100% | |||
| Tyson Bagent QB | #18 | 9.0 | 177.5 | 84% | |||
| Case Keenum QB | #18 | 5.0 | 177.5 | 67% | |||
| D'Andre Swift RB ▲ | #22 | 21.7 | 3.1 | 68.0 | 3.6 | 72% | |
| Kyle Monangai RB ▲Q | #22 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 81.0 | 1.3 | 43% | |
| Roschon Johnson RB ▲ | #22 | 15.0 | 1.6 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 27% | |
| Rome Odunze WR ▲ | #3 | 54.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 95% | ||
| Kalif Raymond WR ▼ | #3 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 59% | ||
| Luther Burden III WR ▼ | #3 | 70.1 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 50% | |
| Colston Loveland TE ▲ | #29 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 86% | ||
| Cole Kmet TEIR | #29 | 12.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 65% | ||
| Sam Roush TE ▲ | #29 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 31% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams CHI vs SEA | 1.3 | 74% | 39% | 15% | O/U 1.5 (+120 / -160) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 42% |
| Malik Willis MIA vs NE | 1.1 | 66% | 30% | 10% | O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65% |
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What stands out
- Tough spot: MIA allow only 115.5 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd fewest. Luther Burden III averages 70.1.
- Tough spot: CHI allow only 73.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th fewest. Ollie Gordon II averages 67.8.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.