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TB @ BAL

Week 14 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

BAL offense vs TB defense

Per gameBAL offenseTB defense allows
Points24.1#1221.6#14
Total yards383.7#6311.0#4
Passing yards242.0#19233.7#14
Rushing yards141.7#477.3#2
Yards per play6.04#65.13#11
Third downs converted43%#1037%#10
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown63%#1453%#10
Sacks (taken / made)2.6#202.3#16
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#71.4#8

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

TB offense vs BAL defense

Per gameTB offenseBAL defense allows
Points23.1#1723.9#18
Total yards315.0#26331.7#11
Passing yards168.6#31235.1#15
Rushing yards146.4#396.6#9
Yards per play4.82#265.27#13
Third downs converted39%#1641%#18
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown55%#2168%#21
Sacks (taken / made)3.1#282.3#16
Turnovers (given / taken)1.6#250.9#25

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Baltimore Ravens players

Per game this season. The second column is where TB rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs TB defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Tyler Huntley QB#1420.0221.3100%
Lamar Jackson QB ▼#1436.0241.876%
Derrick Henry RB#29.71.482.71.755%
Justice Hill RB#212.01.920.02.444%
Rasheen Ali RB#23.23%
Zay Flowers WR ▲#10101.36.75.78.887%
Devontez Walker WR ▲#1015.00.81.865%
Ja'Kobi Lane WR ▲#1025.32.74.362%
Chris Moore WR ▲#1021.01.02.054%
Rashod Bateman WR ▼#1038.02.63.752%
Mark Andrews TE ▼#2329.13.75.365%
Durham Smythe TE ▼IR#231.30.30.742%
Matthew Hibner TE#2317.51.31.339%
Josh Cuevas TE#2323.81.82.231%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers players

Per game this season. The second column is where BAL rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs BAL defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jalon Daniels QB#150.339.0167.00.3100%
Baker Mayfield QB ▼#1516.5169.890%
Bucky Irving RB ▲#711.12.679.73.372%
Kenny Gainwell RB ▼Q#78.71.721.32.423%
Sean Tucker RB#726.714%
Emeka Egbuka WR ▲OUT#2840.04.71.88.286%
Chris Godwin Jr. WR ▲#2834.73.92.64.983%
Ted Hurst III WR ▼#2828.01.83.853%
Tez Johnson WR ▲#2825.41.32.92.150%
David Sills WR#2825%
Cade Otton TE ▼#626.62.74.395%
Payne Durham TE#62.50.51.047%
Bauer Sharp TE#63.50.20.215%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Jalon Daniels TB vs ATL1.577%44%19%no book price
Baker Mayfield TB vs ATL1.577%43%18%O/U 1.5 (+124 / -158) · our Over chance 43% · book's no-vig 42%

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What stands out

  • Tough spot: TB allow only 64.9 rushing yards a game to running backs, 2nd fewest. Derrick Henry averages 82.7.
  • Soft spot: BAL allow 181.6 receiving yards a game to receivers, 5th most. Emeka Egbuka averages 40.0.

Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

Best bet

No player bet for this game.

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

None at a fair price.

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No line yet.

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