CHI @ BUF
Week 15 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
BUF offense vs CHI defense
| Per game | BUF offense | CHI defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 32.8#1 | 20.4#9 |
| Total yards | 399.5#4 | 328.9#8 |
| Passing yards | 250.7#11 | 241.3#20 |
| Rushing yards | 148.8#2 | 87.6#3 |
| Yards per play | 6.60#1 | 6.27#32 |
| Third downs converted | 49%#4 | 26%#1 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 74%#3 | 69%#22 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.0#12 | 2.7#8 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.5#24 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
CHI offense vs BUF defense
| Per game | CHI offense | BUF defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.7#7 | 28.5#30 |
| Total yards | 409.1#3 | 399.7#31 |
| Passing yards | 254.9#10 | 298.7#31 |
| Rushing yards | 154.3#1 | 101.0#15 |
| Yards per play | 5.52#14 | 5.66#21 |
| Third downs converted | 44%#7 | 46%#26 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 53%#25 | 73%#27 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.6#20 | 1.8#22 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.6#25 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Buffalo Bills players
Per game this season. The second column is where CHI rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs CHI defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | #20 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 40.0 | 250.7 | 0.2 | 100% |
| James Cook RB | #4 | 14.8 | 1.7 | 104.5 | 2.3 | 64% | |
| Ty Johnson RB | #4 | 38.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 20% | |
| Ray Davis RBQ | #4 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 15% | |
| Keon Coleman WR ▲ | #17 | 47.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 78% | ||
| Khalil Shakir WR | #17 | 48.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 65% | ||
| Skyler Bell WR | #17 | 1.5 | 53% | ||||
| DJ Moore WRQ | #17 | 44.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 52% | |
| Josh Palmer WR ▼ | #17 | 29.3 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 25% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid TEQ | #19 | 52.5 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 71% | ||
| Dawson Knox TE | #19 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 70% | ||
| Jackson Hawes TE | #19 | 0.3 | 41% |
Chicago Bears players
Per game this season. The second column is where BUF rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs BUF defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | #31 | 32.0 | 255.0 | 100% | |||
| Tyson Bagent QB | #31 | 9.0 | 177.5 | 84% | |||
| Case Keenum QB | #31 | 5.0 | 177.5 | 67% | |||
| D'Andre Swift RB ▲ | #13 | 21.7 | 3.1 | 68.0 | 3.6 | 72% | |
| Kyle Monangai RB ▲Q | #13 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 81.0 | 1.3 | 43% | |
| Roschon Johnson RB ▲ | #13 | 15.0 | 1.6 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 27% | |
| Rome Odunze WR ▲ | #26 | 54.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 95% | ||
| Kalif Raymond WR ▼ | #26 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 59% | ||
| Luther Burden III WR ▼ | #26 | 70.1 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 50% | |
| Colston Loveland TE ▲ | #30 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 86% | ||
| Cole Kmet TEIR | #30 | 12.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 65% | ||
| Sam Roush TE ▲ | #30 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 31% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams CHI vs SEA | 1.3 | 74% | 39% | 15% | O/U 1.5 (+120 / -160) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 42% |
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What stands out
- Soft spot: BUF allow 298.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most. Caleb Williams averages 255.0.
- Tough spot: CHI allow only 73.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th fewest. James Cook averages 104.5.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.