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IND @ TEN

Week 15 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

TEN offense vs IND defense

Per gameTEN offenseIND defense allows
Points15.4#3125.7#23
Total yards259.6#32351.9#17
Passing yards168.4#32227.4#11
Rushing yards91.1#26124.4#22
Yards per play4.59#305.97#28
Third downs converted35%#2830%#4
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown47%#3060%#16
Sacks (taken / made)1.6#61.9#21
Turnovers (given / taken)1.1#160.4#31

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

IND offense vs TEN defense

Per gameIND offenseTEN defense allows
Points22.0#2022.3#15
Total yards317.3#25376.9#26
Passing yards199.7#25245.7#23
Rushing yards117.6#14131.1#26
Yards per play4.58#315.66#22
Third downs converted40%#1341%#17
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1563%#18
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#242.4#12
Turnovers (given / taken)1.7#281.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Tennessee Titans players

Per game this season. The second column is where IND rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs IND defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Cam Ward QB#1110.1168.4100%
Tony Pollard RB ▲#197.11.668.32.376%
Michael Carter RB#197.01.07.01.025%
Tyjae Spears RB ▼Q#1912.52.511.02.824%
Carnell Tate WRQ#1359.04.97.382%
Elic Ayomanor WR ▲#1325.31.43.075%
Calvin Ridley WR ▲Q#1316.21.02.061%
Wan'Dale Robinson WR#1329.34.10.16.160%
Chimere Dike WR#137.60.91.019%
Gunnar Helm TE#1214.02.02.884%
Daniel Bellinger TE#124.90.91.648%

Indianapolis Colts players

Per game this season. The second column is where TEN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs TEN defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Daniel Jones QB#239.7199.7100%
Jonathan Taylor RB ▼#2625.42.483.93.773%
Seth McGowan RB ▲#261.70.619.10.728%
Josh Downs WR#2743.93.71.06.686%
Laquon Treadwell WR ▲#2728.12.13.784%
Keenan Allen WR#2743.04.87.260%
Alec Pierce WRIR#2736.02.53.543%
Deion Burks WR#2711.60.84.21.415%
Tyler Warren TE#442.66.01.27.290%
Andrew Ogletree TE ▲Q#43.20.61.057%
Mo Alie-Cox TE ▲#47.81.01.551%
Will Mallory TE#410.01.04.543%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Daniel Jones IND vs JAX1.166%29%10%O/U 0.5 (-230 / +178) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 66%
Cam Ward TEN vs CIN1.063%26%8%O/U 0.5 (-245 / +180) · our Over chance 63% · book's no-vig 67%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Tough spot: TEN allow only 38.0 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 4th fewest. Tyler Warren averages 42.6.
  • Soft spot: TEN allow 175.6 receiving yards a game to receivers, 6th most. Josh Downs averages 43.9.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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