NE @ KC
Week 15 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
KC offense vs NE defense
| Per game | KC offense | NE defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.8#14 | 20.4#9 |
| Total yards | 387.2#5 | 334.3#13 |
| Passing yards | 245.7#16 | 239.0#19 |
| Rushing yards | 141.5#5 | 95.3#8 |
| Yards per play | 6.47#3 | 5.41#15 |
| Third downs converted | 40%#14 | 37%#8 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 56%#18 | 59%#13 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.2#3 | 2.4#12 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#4 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
NE offense vs KC defense
| Per game | NE offense | KC defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.9#19 | 17.2#2 |
| Total yards | 383.4#7 | 329.0#9 |
| Passing yards | 261.4#9 | 229.5#12 |
| Rushing yards | 122.0#11 | 99.5#13 |
| Yards per play | 6.15#4 | 5.06#8 |
| Third downs converted | 41%#12 | 42%#21 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 55%#21 | 31%#2 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.9#11 | 1.3#29 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 2.0#31 | 1.5#4 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Kansas City Chiefs players
Per game this season. The second column is where NE rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs NE defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes QB | #19 | 11.8 | 245.7 | 100% | |||
| Kenneth Walker III RB | #14 | 19.3 | 3.0 | 116.8 | 4.5 | 74% | |
| Emmett Johnson RB | #14 | 18.2 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 28% | |
| Xavier Worthy WR | #18 | 36.2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 86% | ||
| Rashee Rice WR ▲ | #18 | 63.3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 78% | ||
| Jalen Royals WR ▲ | #18 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 71% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong WR | #18 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 64% | ||
| Tyquan Thornton WR ▲IR | #18 | 54.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 55% | ||
| Cyrus Allen WR ▲ | #18 | 11.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 23% | ||
| Travis Kelce TEQ | #18 | 57.2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 75% | ||
| Noah Gray TE | #18 | 26.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 59% |
New England Patriots players
Per game this season. The second column is where KC rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs KC defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye QB | #12 | 30.1 | 254.9 | 100% | |||
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB | #5 | 29.1 | 2.9 | 40.7 | 3.4 | 65% | |
| TreVeyon Henderson RB ▼Q | #5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 33.8 | 1.2 | 24% | |
| Corey Kiner RB ▲ | #5 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 21.6 | 0.3 | 15% | |
| A.J. Brown WR ▲Q | #4 | 33.7 | 3.0 | 6.7 | 84% | ||
| Efton Chism III WR ▲ | #4 | 19.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 63% | |
| DeMario Douglas WR | #4 | 36.6 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 62% | ||
| Mack Hollins WR ▼IR | #4 | 52.3 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 59% | ||
| Kyle Williams WR ▲ | #4 | 21.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 38% | ||
| Hunter Henry TE | #27 | 42.3 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 76% | ||
| Eli Raridon TE | #27 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 56% | ||
| Cameron Latu TE ▲ | #27 | 26% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye NE vs MIA | 1.6 | 81% | 49% | 23% | O/U 1.5 (-140 / +105) · our Over chance 49% · book's no-vig 54% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs DEN | 1.3 | 72% | 36% | 14% | O/U 1.5 (+166 / -215) · our Over chance 36% · book's no-vig 36% |
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What stands out
- Tough spot: KC allow only 122.0 receiving yards a game to receivers, 4th fewest. Mack Hollins averages 52.3.
- Tough spot: KC allow only 73.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, 5th fewest. Rhamondre Stevenson averages 40.7.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.