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LAC @ MIA

Week 16 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

MIA offense vs LAC defense

Per gameMIA offenseLAC defense allows
Points16.3#3025.2#22
Total yards307.7#28340.0#15
Passing yards176.2#30216.2#6
Rushing yards131.5#7123.8#21
Yards per play5.25#205.60#19
Third downs converted41%#1132%#6
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1550%#9
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#231.8#22
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#211.5#4

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

LAC offense vs MIA defense

Per gameLAC offenseMIA defense allows
Points15.0#3226.2#25
Total yards309.2#27346.3#16
Passing yards190.2#27236.2#18
Rushing yards119.0#13110.2#16
Yards per play4.66#285.96#26
Third downs converted34%#2954%#31
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown53%#2565%#19
Sacks (taken / made)3.5#311.0#32
Turnovers (given / taken)2.3#320.8#29

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Miami Dolphins players

Per game this season. The second column is where LAC rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs LAC defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Malik Willis QB#637.2176.2100%
Ollie Gordon II RB ▲#252.81.267.81.674%
De'Von Achane RB ▼IR#2516.32.342.34.041%
DJ Herman RB#259.00.51.533%
Jaylen Wright RB#257.20.213%
Malik Washington WRQ#848.24.36.36.580%
Caleb Douglas WR ▼#861.03.04.368%
Chris Bell WR#819.51.34.33.260%
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR#87.21.03.640%
Jalen Tolbert WR#811.00.51.523%
Greg Dulcich TEQ#2042.63.64.470%
Will Kacmarek TEQ#204.80.61.238%

Los Angeles Chargers players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIA defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Justin Herbert QB#1828.0190.20.2100%
Omarion Hampton RB ▼#229.31.548.21.740%
Kimani Vidal RB ▲#228.61.421.82.440%
Keaton Mitchell RB ▼#228.72.023.22.530%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR#332.05.09.087%
Quentin Johnston WR#333.01.60.64.482%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR ▲OUT#37.30.71.775%
Theo Wease Jr. WR#318.51.52.056%
Tre Harris WR ▼Q#345.03.05.045%
Charlie Kolar TE ▲#2919.52.33.371%
Oronde Gadsden II TE ▲#2917.22.00.33.554%
David Njoku TEIR#2933.53.04.036%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Malik Willis MIA vs NE1.166%30%10%O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Tough spot: MIA allow only 115.5 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd fewest. Tre Harris averages 45.0.
  • Tough spot: LAC allow only 216.2 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 6th fewest. Malik Willis averages 176.2.

Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

Best bet

No player bet for this game.

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

None at a fair price.

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No line yet.

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