WAS @ MIN
Week 16 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
MIN offense vs WAS defense
| Per game | MIN offense | WAS defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.8#24 | 28.7#31 |
| Total yards | 300.7#29 | 368.5#22 |
| Passing yards | 181.3#29 | 268.0#28 |
| Rushing yards | 119.3#12 | 100.5#14 |
| Yards per play | 4.84#24 | 5.67#23 |
| Third downs converted | 38%#23 | 45%#25 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 47%#31 | 82%#31 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.0#25 | 1.8#22 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#4 | 1.3#12 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
WAS offense vs MIN defense
| Per game | WAS offense | MIN defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.0#20 | 12.3#1 |
| Total yards | 339.3#20 | 278.7#2 |
| Passing yards | 214.2#22 | 180.8#2 |
| Rushing yards | 125.2#9 | 97.8#10 |
| Yards per play | 5.19#22 | 4.47#2 |
| Third downs converted | 31%#32 | 28%#3 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 56%#20 | 23%#1 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.3#19 | 3.5#1 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.3#1 | 1.7#3 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Minnesota Vikings players
Per game this season. The second column is where WAS rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs WAS defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray QB | #28 | 30.8 | 198.5 | 100% | |||
| Carson Wentz QB | #28 | 2.5 | 138.0 | 92% | |||
| Jordan Mason RB ▲ | #8 | 63.5 | 1.0 | 64% | |||
| Aaron Jones RB ▼ | #8 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 72.7 | 3.2 | 56% | |
| Justin Jefferson WR ▲ | #23 | 60.4 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 91% | ||
| Jordan Addison WR | #23 | 36.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5.0 | 83% | |
| Jauan Jennings WR ▼ | #23 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 63% | ||
| Tai Felton WR ▼ | #23 | 10.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 37% | ||
| Myles Price WR | #23 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 12% | |
| Ben Yurosek TE | #28 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55% | ||
| Josh Oliver TE ▼IR | #28 | 15.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 51% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson TE ▼ | #28 | 39.5 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 40% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew TE ▲ | #28 | 18.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 37% |
Washington Commanders players
Per game this season. The second column is where MIN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs MIN defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels QB ▲ | #2 | 53.3 | 189.8 | 100% | |||
| Marcus Mariota QB | #2 | 7.0 | 147.0 | 73% | |||
| Rachaad White RB ▲ | #15 | 16.6 | 2.8 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 65% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB ▼IR | #15 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 47.8 | 1.4 | 35% | |
| Jeremy McNichols RB | #15 | 13.0 | 18% | ||||
| Austin Ekeler RB ▼ | #15 | 10.0 | 1.3 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 10% | |
| Antonio Williams WR ▲ | #5 | 34.2 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 68% | ||
| Treylon Burks WR ▲Q | #5 | 30.4 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 64% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WR | #5 | 42.8 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 61% | ||
| Dyami Brown WR | #5 | 15.7 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 43% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WR ▼IR | #5 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 34% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo TE ▲ | #5 | 37.5 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 74% | ||
| John Bates TE ▼Q | #5 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 41% | ||
| Ben Sinnott TE ▼ | #5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 37% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray MIN vs DET | 1.4 | 75% | 40% | 16% | O/U 1.5 (+111 / -142) · our Over chance 40% · book's no-vig 45% |
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What stands out
- Tough spot: MIN allow only 180.8 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd fewest. Jayden Daniels averages 189.8.
- Tough spot: MIN allow only 123.8 receiving yards a game to receivers, 5th fewest. Terry McLaurin averages 46.0.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.