BUF @ MIA
Week 17 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
MIA offense vs BUF defense
| Per game | MIA offense | BUF defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.3#30 | 28.5#30 |
| Total yards | 307.7#28 | 399.7#31 |
| Passing yards | 176.2#30 | 298.7#31 |
| Rushing yards | 131.5#7 | 101.0#15 |
| Yards per play | 5.25#20 | 5.66#21 |
| Third downs converted | 41%#11 | 46%#26 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 60%#15 | 73%#27 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.7#23 | 1.8#22 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.3#21 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
BUF offense vs MIA defense
| Per game | BUF offense | MIA defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 32.8#1 | 26.2#25 |
| Total yards | 399.5#4 | 346.3#16 |
| Passing yards | 250.7#11 | 236.2#18 |
| Rushing yards | 148.8#2 | 110.2#16 |
| Yards per play | 6.60#1 | 5.96#26 |
| Third downs converted | 49%#4 | 54%#31 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 74%#3 | 65%#19 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.0#12 | 1.0#32 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.5#24 | 0.8#29 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Miami Dolphins players
Per game this season. The second column is where BUF rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs BUF defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis QB | #31 | 37.2 | 176.2 | 100% | |||
| Ollie Gordon II RB ▲ | #13 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 67.8 | 1.6 | 74% | |
| De'Von Achane RB ▼IR | #13 | 16.3 | 2.3 | 42.3 | 4.0 | 41% | |
| DJ Herman RB | #13 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33% | ||
| Jaylen Wright RB | #13 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 13% | |||
| Malik Washington WRQ | #26 | 48.2 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 80% | |
| Caleb Douglas WR ▼ | #26 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 68% | ||
| Chris Bell WR | #26 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 60% | |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. WR | #26 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 40% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert WR | #26 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 23% | ||
| Greg Dulcich TEQ | #30 | 42.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 70% | ||
| Will Kacmarek TEQ | #30 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 38% |
Buffalo Bills players
Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs MIA defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen QB | #18 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 40.0 | 250.7 | 0.2 | 100% |
| James Cook RB | #22 | 14.8 | 1.7 | 104.5 | 2.3 | 64% | |
| Ty Johnson RB | #22 | 38.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 20% | |
| Ray Davis RBQ | #22 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 15% | |
| Keon Coleman WR ▲ | #3 | 47.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 78% | ||
| Khalil Shakir WR | #3 | 48.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 65% | ||
| Skyler Bell WR | #3 | 1.5 | 53% | ||||
| DJ Moore WRQ | #3 | 44.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 52% | |
| Josh Palmer WR ▼ | #3 | 29.3 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 25% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid TEQ | #29 | 52.5 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 71% | ||
| Dawson Knox TE | #29 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 70% | ||
| Jackson Hawes TE | #29 | 0.3 | 41% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis MIA vs NE | 1.1 | 66% | 30% | 10% | O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65% |
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What stands out
- Soft spot: BUF allow 298.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most. Malik Willis averages 176.2.
- Tough spot: MIA allow only 115.5 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd fewest. Khalil Shakir averages 48.3.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.