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CHI @ MIN

Week 18 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

MIN offense vs CHI defense

Per gameMIN offenseCHI defense allows
Points20.8#2420.4#9
Total yards300.7#29328.9#8
Passing yards181.3#29241.3#20
Rushing yards119.3#1287.6#3
Yards per play4.84#246.27#32
Third downs converted38%#2326%#1
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown47%#3169%#22
Sacks (taken / made)3.0#252.7#8
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#41.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

CHI offense vs MIN defense

Per gameCHI offenseMIN defense allows
Points25.7#712.3#1
Total yards409.1#3278.7#2
Passing yards254.9#10180.8#2
Rushing yards154.3#197.8#10
Yards per play5.52#144.47#2
Third downs converted44%#728%#3
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown53%#2523%#1
Sacks (taken / made)2.6#203.5#1
Turnovers (given / taken)1.6#251.7#3

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Minnesota Vikings players

Per game this season. The second column is where CHI rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs CHI defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Kyler Murray QB#2030.8198.5100%
Carson Wentz QB#202.5138.092%
Jordan Mason RB ▲#463.51.064%
Aaron Jones RB ▼#412.02.272.73.256%
Justin Jefferson WR ▲#1760.44.66.291%
Jordan Addison WR#1736.62.60.45.083%
Jauan Jennings WR ▼#178.60.81.663%
Tai Felton WR ▼#1710.30.81.837%
Myles Price WR#174.30.80.31.212%
Ben Yurosek TE#1910.01.01.055%
Josh Oliver TE ▼IR#1915.31.01.751%
T.J. Hockenson TE ▼#1939.54.55.340%
Gavin Bartholomew TE ▲#1918.02.32.737%

Chicago Bears players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIN defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Caleb Williams QB#232.0255.0100%
Tyson Bagent QB#29.0177.584%
Case Keenum QB#25.0177.567%
D'Andre Swift RB ▲#1521.73.168.03.672%
Kyle Monangai RB ▲Q#159.81.381.01.343%
Roschon Johnson RB ▲#1515.01.617.22.027%
Rome Odunze WR ▲#554.43.45.495%
Kalif Raymond WR ▼#534.93.74.459%
Luther Burden III WR ▼#570.15.04.16.750%
Colston Loveland TE ▲#534.93.76.086%
Cole Kmet TEIR#512.41.42.065%
Sam Roush TE ▲#56.60.61.031%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Kyler Murray MIN vs DET1.475%40%16%O/U 1.5 (+111 / -142) · our Over chance 40% · book's no-vig 45%
Caleb Williams CHI vs SEA1.374%39%15%O/U 1.5 (+120 / -160) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 42%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Tough spot: MIN allow only 180.8 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd fewest. Caleb Williams averages 255.0.
  • Tough spot: CHI allow only 73.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th fewest. Aaron Jones averages 72.7.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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