PIT @ BAL
Week 18 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
BAL offense vs PIT defense
| Per game | BAL offense | PIT defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.1#12 | 19.7#5 |
| Total yards | 383.7#6 | 321.0#7 |
| Passing yards | 242.0#19 | 230.0#13 |
| Rushing yards | 141.7#4 | 91.0#7 |
| Yards per play | 6.04#6 | 5.04#7 |
| Third downs converted | 43%#10 | 35%#7 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 63%#14 | 46%#6 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.6#20 | 2.6#10 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#7 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
PIT offense vs BAL defense
| Per game | PIT offense | BAL defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.9#22 | 23.9#18 |
| Total yards | 348.9#18 | 331.7#11 |
| Passing yards | 242.7#18 | 235.1#15 |
| Rushing yards | 106.1#20 | 96.6#9 |
| Yards per play | 5.22#21 | 5.27#13 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#22 | 41%#18 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 50%#28 | 68%#21 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.1#28 | 2.3#16 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.0#15 | 0.9#25 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Baltimore Ravens players
Per game this season. The second column is where PIT rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs PIT defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huntley QB | #13 | 20.0 | 221.3 | 100% | |||
| Lamar Jackson QB ▼ | #13 | 36.0 | 241.8 | 76% | |||
| Derrick Henry RB | #6 | 9.7 | 1.4 | 82.7 | 1.7 | 55% | |
| Justice Hill RB | #6 | 12.0 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 2.4 | 44% | |
| Rasheen Ali RB | #6 | 3.2 | 3% | ||||
| Zay Flowers WR ▲ | #16 | 101.3 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 8.8 | 87% | |
| Devontez Walker WR ▲ | #16 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 65% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane WR ▲ | #16 | 25.3 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 62% | ||
| Chris Moore WR ▲ | #16 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 54% | ||
| Rashod Bateman WR ▼ | #16 | 38.0 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 52% | ||
| Mark Andrews TE ▼ | #8 | 29.1 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 65% | ||
| Durham Smythe TE ▼IR | #8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 42% | ||
| Matthew Hibner TE | #8 | 17.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 39% | ||
| Josh Cuevas TE | #8 | 23.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 31% |
Pittsburgh Steelers players
Per game this season. The second column is where BAL rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs BAL defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers QB | #15 | 3.3 | 242.7 | 100% | |||
| Jaylen Warren RB | #7 | 42.0 | 3.4 | 80.1 | 4.9 | 69% | |
| Rico Dowdle RB | #7 | 20.5 | 3.3 | 29.5 | 4.3 | 36% | |
| DK Metcalf WR | #28 | 53.4 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 94% | |
| Germie Bernard WR ▲ | #28 | 42.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 93% | |
| Michael Pittman WR ▼IR | #28 | 29.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 73% | ||
| Brandon Smith WR | #28 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 49% | ||
| Roman Wilson WR ▼IR | #28 | 37.6 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 32% | ||
| Darnell Washington TE | #6 | 22.9 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 64% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth TE | #6 | 28.6 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 63% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers PIT vs CLE | 1.3 | 73% | 38% | 14% | O/U 1.5 (+150 / -200) · our Over chance 38% · book's no-vig 38% |
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What stands out
- Soft spot: BAL allow 181.6 receiving yards a game to receivers, 5th most. DK Metcalf averages 53.4.
- Tough spot: PIT allow only 75.4 rushing yards a game to running backs, 6th fewest. Derrick Henry averages 82.7.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.