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BAL @ BUF

Week 8 · · BUF -3 · total 54.5

Offense vs defense rankings

BUF offense vs BAL defense

Per gameBUF offenseBAL defense allows
Points32.8#123.9#18
Total yards399.5#4331.7#11
Passing yards250.7#11235.1#15
Rushing yards148.8#296.6#9
Yards per play6.60#15.27#13
Third downs converted49%#441%#18
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown74%#368%#21
Sacks (taken / made)2.0#122.3#16
Turnovers (given / taken)1.5#240.9#25

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

BAL offense vs BUF defense

Per gameBAL offenseBUF defense allows
Points24.1#1228.5#30
Total yards383.7#6399.7#31
Passing yards242.0#19298.7#31
Rushing yards141.7#4101.0#15
Yards per play6.04#65.66#21
Third downs converted43%#1046%#26
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown63%#1473%#27
Sacks (taken / made)2.6#201.8#22
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#71.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Buffalo Bills players

Per game this season. The second column is where BAL rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs BAL defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Josh Allen QB#150.20.240.0250.70.2100%
James Cook RB#714.81.7104.52.364%
Ty Johnson RB#738.83.01.53.020%
Ray Davis RBQ#78.00.62.40.615%
Keon Coleman WR ▲#2847.23.24.078%
Khalil Shakir WR#2848.33.75.365%
Skyler Bell WR#281.553%
DJ Moore WRQ#2844.53.01.35.052%
Josh Palmer WR ▼#2829.31.02.825%
Dalton Kincaid TEQ#652.53.84.871%
Dawson Knox TE#66.01.31.770%
Jackson Hawes TE#60.341%

Baltimore Ravens players

Per game this season. The second column is where BUF rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs BUF defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Tyler Huntley QB#3120.0221.3100%
Lamar Jackson QB ▼#3136.0241.876%
Derrick Henry RB#139.71.482.71.755%
Justice Hill RB#1312.01.920.02.444%
Rasheen Ali RB#133.23%
Zay Flowers WR ▲#26101.36.75.78.887%
Devontez Walker WR ▲#2615.00.81.865%
Ja'Kobi Lane WR ▲#2625.32.74.362%
Chris Moore WR ▲#2621.01.02.054%
Rashod Bateman WR ▼#2638.02.63.752%
Mark Andrews TE ▼#3029.13.75.365%
Durham Smythe TE ▼IR#301.30.30.742%
Matthew Hibner TE#3017.51.31.339%
Josh Cuevas TE#3023.81.82.231%

Cheat sheet

BAL @ BUF chalk combo Beta

Lines priced around -250 to -500 that each player has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season, put together within one game so the combo pays between roughly -130 and +200; the bands are guidance, so a leg or a combo a little outside them still makes the cut when the numbers are good. Our chance is the legs multiplied; each price is that leg’s best book, and a same-game parlay at one book will price a touch differently.

2 legs · about -105our chance 62%

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Where and weather

Highmark Stadium. 63°F, wind 3 mph, 0% chance of rain.

What stands out

  • Quarterback change: Lamar Jackson starts for BAL in place of Tyler Huntley. Every BAL passing and receiving number rests on that.
  • Soft spot: BUF allow 298.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most. Lamar Jackson averages 241.8.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

Best bet

For members. Unlock with Pro $19

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

For members.

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No edge

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