CHI @ SEA
Week 8 · · SEA -3 · total 46.5
Offense vs defense rankings
SEA offense vs CHI defense
| Per game | SEA offense | CHI defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.0#13 | 20.4#9 |
| Total yards | 360.3#10 | 328.9#8 |
| Passing yards | 246.6#14 | 241.3#20 |
| Rushing yards | 113.7#17 | 87.6#3 |
| Yards per play | 5.42#17 | 6.27#32 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#18 | 26%#1 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 55%#21 | 69%#22 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.3#17 | 2.7#8 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.9#30 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
CHI offense vs SEA defense
| Per game | CHI offense | SEA defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.7#7 | 17.9#4 |
| Total yards | 409.1#3 | 247.4#1 |
| Passing yards | 254.9#10 | 158.0#1 |
| Rushing yards | 154.3#1 | 89.4#6 |
| Yards per play | 5.52#14 | 4.05#1 |
| Third downs converted | 44%#7 | 28%#2 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 53%#25 | 85%#32 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.6#20 | 2.4#12 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.6#25 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Seattle Seahawks players
Per game this season. The second column is where CHI rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs CHI defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold QB | #20 | 10.4 | 255.4 | 100% | |||
| Drew Lock QBQ | #20 | 6.5 | 211.0 | 95% | |||
| George Holani RB | #4 | 12.6 | 1.7 | 15.4 | 2.0 | 47% | |
| Emanuel Wilson RB | #4 | 9.3 | 0.9 | 57.6 | 1.3 | 40% | |
| Jadarian Price RB ▼IR | #4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 39.7 | 2.3 | 31% | |
| Brady Russell RB | #4 | 6.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 17% | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. RB ▲Q | #4 | 0.3 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 12% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR | #17 | 123.9 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 11.1 | 85% | |
| Cooper Kupp WR | #17 | 28.4 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 75% | ||
| Tory Horton WR ▲ | #17 | 16.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 46% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed WR ▼Q | #17 | 23.3 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 39% | |
| AJ Barner TE | #19 | 25.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 87% | |
| Elijah Arroyo TEIR | #19 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 27% | ||
| Eric Saubert TE | #19 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 26% |
Chicago Bears players
Per game this season. The second column is where SEA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs SEA defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | #1 | 32.0 | 255.0 | 100% | |||
| Tyson Bagent QB | #1 | 9.0 | 177.5 | 84% | |||
| Case Keenum QB | #1 | 5.0 | 177.5 | 67% | |||
| D'Andre Swift RB ▲ | #3 | 21.7 | 3.1 | 68.0 | 3.6 | 72% | |
| Kyle Monangai RB ▲Q | #3 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 81.0 | 1.3 | 43% | |
| Roschon Johnson RB ▲ | #3 | 15.0 | 1.6 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 27% | |
| Rome Odunze WR ▲ | #1 | 54.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 95% | ||
| Kalif Raymond WR ▼ | #1 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 59% | ||
| Luther Burden III WR ▼ | #1 | 70.1 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 50% | |
| Colston Loveland TE ▲ | #1 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 86% | ||
| Cole Kmet TEIR | #1 | 12.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 65% | ||
| Sam Roush TE ▲ | #1 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 31% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold SEA vs CHI | 1.6 | 80% | 47% | 22% | O/U 1.5 (-120 / -107) · our Over chance 47% · book's no-vig 51% |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs SEA | 1.3 | 74% | 39% | 15% | O/U 1.5 (+120 / -160) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 42% |
Cheat sheet
Hit in 80%+ of his games
Numbers a book sells at -200 or better that he has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season. Best hit rates first.
- J. Smith-Njigba SEA vs CHI: 100+ Rec Yards6/7 this season
- R. Odunze CHI @ SEA: 40+ Rec Yards6/7 this season
- R. Odunze CHI @ SEA: 3+ Receptions6/7 this season
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Create a free accountResearch, not picks. The price column says what the book thinks of the hit rate.
CHI @ SEA chalk combo Beta
Lines priced around -250 to -500 that each player has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season, put together within one game so the combo pays between roughly -130 and +200; the bands are guidance, so a leg or a combo a little outside them still makes the cut when the numbers are good. Our chance is the legs multiplied; each price is that leg’s best book, and a same-game parlay at one book will price a touch differently.
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Where and weather
Lumen Field. 51°F, wind 2 mph, 4% chance of rain.
What stands out
- Tough spot: SEA allow only 158.0 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the fewest in the league. Caleb Williams averages 255.0.
- Tough spot: SEA allow only 91.7 receiving yards a game to receivers, the fewest in the league. Luther Burden III averages 70.1.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.For members.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge