IND @ JAX
Week 8 · · JAX -10 · total 46.5
Offense vs defense rankings
JAX offense vs IND defense
| Per game | JAX offense | IND defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.7#8 | 25.7#23 |
| Total yards | 359.5#12 | 351.9#17 |
| Passing yards | 246.7#13 | 227.4#11 |
| Rushing yards | 112.8#18 | 124.4#22 |
| Yards per play | 5.89#8 | 5.97#28 |
| Third downs converted | 49%#5 | 30%#4 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 68%#8 | 60%#16 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 1.7#8 | 1.9#21 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 0.7#4 | 0.4#31 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
IND offense vs JAX defense
| Per game | IND offense | JAX defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.0#20 | 17.3#3 |
| Total yards | 317.3#25 | 355.2#18 |
| Passing yards | 199.7#25 | 283.0#30 |
| Rushing yards | 117.6#14 | 72.2#1 |
| Yards per play | 4.58#31 | 5.87#25 |
| Third downs converted | 40%#13 | 37%#9 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 60%#15 | 40%#4 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.7#24 | 1.8#22 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.7#28 | 1.5#4 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Jacksonville Jaguars players
Per game this season. The second column is where IND rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs IND defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence QB | #11 | 11.7 | 246.7 | 100% | |||
| Bhayshul Tuten RB ▲ | #19 | 21.0 | 2.2 | 64.7 | 2.3 | 63% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB | #19 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 28.0 | 0.3 | 21% | |
| Jakobi Meyers WRQ | #13 | 47.5 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 80% | |
| Parker Washington WR | #13 | 69.3 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 7.7 | 78% | |
| Josh Cameron WR ▲ | #13 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 41% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. WR ▼ | #13 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 36% | ||
| Brenton Strange TE | #12 | 46.5 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 79% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher TE | #12 | 10.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 52% |
Indianapolis Colts players
Per game this season. The second column is where JAX rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs JAX defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones QB | #30 | 9.7 | 199.7 | 100% | |||
| Jonathan Taylor RB ▼ | #1 | 25.4 | 2.4 | 83.9 | 3.7 | 73% | |
| Seth McGowan RB ▲ | #1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 19.1 | 0.7 | 28% | |
| Josh Downs WR | #32 | 43.9 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 86% | |
| Laquon Treadwell WR ▲ | #32 | 28.1 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 84% | ||
| Keenan Allen WR | #32 | 43.0 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 60% | ||
| Alec Pierce WRIR | #32 | 36.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 43% | ||
| Deion Burks WR | #32 | 11.6 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 15% | |
| Tyler Warren TE | #2 | 42.6 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 90% | |
| Andrew Ogletree TE ▲Q | #2 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 57% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox TE ▲ | #2 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 51% | ||
| Will Mallory TE | #2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 43% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones IND vs JAX | 1.1 | 66% | 29% | 10% | O/U 0.5 (-230 / +178) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 66% |
Cheat sheet
Hit in 80%+ of his games
Numbers a book sells at -200 or better that he has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season. Best hit rates first.
- J. Taylor IND @ JAX: 61+ Rush Yards6/7 this season
- B. Tuten JAX vs IND: 16+ Rec Yards5/6 this season
- B. Tuten JAX vs IND: 62+ Rush Yards5/6 this season
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Create a free accountResearch, not picks. The price column says what the book thinks of the hit rate.
IND @ JAX chalk combo Beta
Lines priced around -250 to -500 that each player has cleared in at least 80% of his games this season, put together within one game so the combo pays between roughly -130 and +200; the bands are guidance, so a leg or a combo a little outside them still makes the cut when the numbers are good. Our chance is the legs multiplied; each price is that leg’s best book, and a same-game parlay at one book will price a touch differently.
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Where and weather
EverBank Stadium. 74°F, wind 16 mph, 54% chance of rain.
What stands out
- Wind: 16 mph is forecast. Above about 12 mph, passing numbers start to drop and teams run more.
- Tough spot: JAX allow only 51.5 rushing yards a game to running backs, the fewest in the league. Jonathan Taylor averages 83.9.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
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A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.For members.
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge