TB @ CHI
Week 9 · · CHI -6 · total 47.5
Offense vs defense rankings
CHI offense vs TB defense
| Per game | CHI offense | TB defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.7#7 | 21.6#14 |
| Total yards | 409.1#3 | 311.0#4 |
| Passing yards | 254.9#10 | 233.7#14 |
| Rushing yards | 154.3#1 | 77.3#2 |
| Yards per play | 5.52#14 | 5.13#11 |
| Third downs converted | 44%#7 | 37%#10 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 53%#25 | 53%#10 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 2.6#20 | 2.3#16 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.6#25 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
TB offense vs CHI defense
| Per game | TB offense | CHI defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.1#17 | 20.4#9 |
| Total yards | 315.0#26 | 328.9#8 |
| Passing yards | 168.6#31 | 241.3#20 |
| Rushing yards | 146.4#3 | 87.6#3 |
| Yards per play | 4.82#26 | 6.27#32 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#16 | 26%#1 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 55%#21 | 69%#22 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.1#28 | 2.7#8 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.6#25 | 1.0#17 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Chicago Bears players
Per game this season. The second column is where TB rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs TB defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams QB | #14 | 32.0 | 255.0 | 100% | |||
| Tyson Bagent QB | #14 | 9.0 | 177.5 | 84% | |||
| Case Keenum QB | #14 | 5.0 | 177.5 | 67% | |||
| D'Andre Swift RB ▲ | #2 | 21.7 | 3.1 | 68.0 | 3.6 | 72% | |
| Kyle Monangai RB ▲Q | #2 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 81.0 | 1.3 | 43% | |
| Roschon Johnson RB ▲ | #2 | 15.0 | 1.6 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 27% | |
| Rome Odunze WR ▲ | #10 | 54.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 95% | ||
| Kalif Raymond WR ▼ | #10 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 59% | ||
| Luther Burden III WR ▼ | #10 | 70.1 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 50% | |
| Colston Loveland TE ▲ | #23 | 34.9 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 86% | ||
| Cole Kmet TEIR | #23 | 12.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 65% | ||
| Sam Roush TE ▲ | #23 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 31% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers players
Per game this season. The second column is where CHI rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs CHI defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels QB | #20 | 0.3 | 39.0 | 167.0 | 0.3 | 100% | |
| Baker Mayfield QB ▼ | #20 | 16.5 | 169.8 | 90% | |||
| Bucky Irving RB ▲ | #4 | 11.1 | 2.6 | 79.7 | 3.3 | 72% | |
| Kenny Gainwell RB ▼Q | #4 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 21.3 | 2.4 | 23% | |
| Sean Tucker RB | #4 | 26.7 | 14% | ||||
| Emeka Egbuka WR ▲OUT | #17 | 40.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 86% | |
| Chris Godwin Jr. WR ▲ | #17 | 34.7 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 83% | |
| Ted Hurst III WR ▼ | #17 | 28.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 53% | ||
| Tez Johnson WR ▲ | #17 | 25.4 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 50% | |
| David Sills WR | #17 | 25% | |||||
| Cade Otton TE ▼ | #19 | 26.6 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 95% | ||
| Payne Durham TE | #19 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 47% | ||
| Bauer Sharp TE | #19 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 15% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels TB vs ATL | 1.5 | 77% | 44% | 19% | no book price |
| Baker Mayfield TB vs ATL | 1.5 | 77% | 43% | 18% | O/U 1.5 (+124 / -158) · our Over chance 43% · book's no-vig 42% |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs SEA | 1.3 | 74% | 39% | 15% | O/U 1.5 (+120 / -160) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 42% |
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Where and weather
Forecast not out yet.
What stands out
- Tough spot: TB allow only 64.9 rushing yards a game to running backs, 2nd fewest. Kyle Monangai averages 81.0.
- Tough spot: CHI allow only 73.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th fewest. Bucky Irving averages 79.7.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
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Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No edge