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NE @ DET

Week 10 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

DET offense vs NE defense

Per gameDET offenseNE defense allows
Points30.7#220.4#9
Total yards413.0#1334.3#13
Passing yards298.0#1239.0#19
Rushing yards115.0#1695.3#8
Yards per play6.04#55.41#15
Third downs converted39%#1737%#8
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown70%#659%#13
Sacks (taken / made)2.0#122.4#12
Turnovers (given / taken)0.5#31.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

NE offense vs DET defense

Per gameNE offenseDET defense allows
Points22.9#1927.5#26
Total yards383.4#7412.7#32
Passing yards261.4#9313.5#32
Rushing yards122.0#1199.2#12
Yards per play6.15#45.61#20
Third downs converted41%#1248%#29
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown55%#2172%#26
Sacks (taken / made)1.9#113.5#1
Turnovers (given / taken)2.0#311.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Detroit Lions players

Per game this season. The second column is where NE rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs NE defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jared Goff QB#192.5298.098%
Jahmyr Gibbs RB#1445.05.3103.36.780%
Sione Vaki RB#148.70.79.30.824%
Jameson Williams WR#1861.23.86.387%
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR#1887.57.711.382%
Isaac TeSlaa WR ▼#1832.81.73.544%
Sam LaPorta TE#1855.74.76.593%
Brock Wright TE ▲#186.21.01.267%

New England Patriots players

Per game this season. The second column is where DET rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs DET defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Drake Maye QB#3230.1254.9100%
Rhamondre Stevenson RB#1029.12.940.73.465%
TreVeyon Henderson RB ▼Q#107.50.833.81.224%
Corey Kiner RB ▲#102.30.321.60.315%
A.J. Brown WR ▲Q#3033.73.06.784%
Efton Chism III WR ▲#3019.01.70.32.563%
DeMario Douglas WR#3036.63.34.962%
Mack Hollins WR ▼IR#3052.33.85.059%
Kyle Williams WR ▲#3021.00.91.738%
Hunter Henry TE#3242.33.74.476%
Eli Raridon TE#3228.02.02.756%
Cameron Latu TE ▲#3226%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Drake Maye NE vs MIA1.681%49%23%O/U 1.5 (-140 / +105) · our Over chance 49% · book's no-vig 54%
Jared Goff DET vs MIN1.579%46%20%O/U 1.5 (-145 / +110) · our Over chance 46% · book's no-vig 55%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Soft spot: DET allow 312.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the most in the league. Drake Maye averages 254.9.
  • Soft spot: DET allow 100.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the most in the league. Hunter Henry averages 42.3.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

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