CAR @ TB
Week 12 ·
Offense vs defense rankings
TB offense vs CAR defense
| Per game | TB offense | CAR defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.1#17 | 27.6#27 |
| Total yards | 315.0#26 | 360.3#19 |
| Passing yards | 168.6#31 | 219.6#7 |
| Rushing yards | 146.4#3 | 140.7#30 |
| Yards per play | 4.82#26 | 5.42#17 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#16 | 46%#27 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 55%#21 | 80%#30 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.1#28 | 1.6#26 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.6#25 | 1.1#15 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
CAR offense vs TB defense
| Per game | CAR offense | TB defense allows |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.4#9 | 21.6#14 |
| Total yards | 383.1#8 | 311.0#4 |
| Passing yards | 281.1#3 | 233.7#14 |
| Rushing yards | 102.0#21 | 77.3#2 |
| Yards per play | 5.53#13 | 5.13#11 |
| Third downs converted | 39%#21 | 37%#10 |
| Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown | 68%#10 | 53%#10 |
| Sacks (taken / made) | 3.3#30 | 2.3#16 |
| Turnovers (given / taken) | 1.1#16 | 1.4#8 |
#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.
Player Stats
Tampa Bay Buccaneers players
Per game this season. The second column is where CAR rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs CAR defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels QB | #7 | 0.3 | 39.0 | 167.0 | 0.3 | 100% | |
| Baker Mayfield QB ▼ | #7 | 16.5 | 169.8 | 90% | |||
| Bucky Irving RB ▲ | #29 | 11.1 | 2.6 | 79.7 | 3.3 | 72% | |
| Kenny Gainwell RB ▼Q | #29 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 21.3 | 2.4 | 23% | |
| Sean Tucker RB | #29 | 26.7 | 14% | ||||
| Emeka Egbuka WR ▲OUT | #15 | 40.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 86% | |
| Chris Godwin Jr. WR ▲ | #15 | 34.7 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 83% | |
| Ted Hurst III WR ▼ | #15 | 28.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 53% | ||
| Tez Johnson WR ▲ | #15 | 25.4 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 50% | |
| David Sills WR | #15 | 25% | |||||
| Cade Otton TE ▼ | #15 | 26.6 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 95% | ||
| Payne Durham TE | #15 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 47% | ||
| Bauer Sharp TE | #15 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 15% |
Carolina Panthers players
Per game this season. The second column is where TB rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.
| Player | vs TB defense | Receiving yards | Receptions | Rushing yards | Passing yards | Targets | On field |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young QB | #14 | 4.9 | 274.4 | 89% | |||
| Chuba Hubbard RB ▲ | #2 | 21.4 | 3.1 | 77.1 | 3.7 | 77% | |
| Jonathon Brooks RBIR | #2 | 21.5 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 1.5 | 25% | |
| Trevor Etienne RB ▲ | #2 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 19% | |
| Tetairoa McMillan WR | #10 | 81.3 | 6.0 | 9.3 | 79% | ||
| Jalen Coker WR ▼ | #10 | 60.7 | 4.5 | 7.3 | 76% | ||
| Xavier Legette WRIR | #10 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 52% | ||
| John Metchie III WR ▲ | #10 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 46% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne WR ▼ | #10 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 32% | ||
| David Moore WR | #10 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 12% | ||
| Tommy Tremble TE | #23 | 22.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 54% | ||
| Darren Waller TE | #23 | 29.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 54% | ||
| Mitchell Evans TE | #23 | 18.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 41% |
Passing touchdowns Beta
How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).
| Quarterback | Expected | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | Book line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels TB vs ATL | 1.5 | 77% | 44% | 19% | no book price |
| Baker Mayfield TB vs ATL | 1.5 | 77% | 43% | 18% | O/U 1.5 (+124 / -158) · our Over chance 43% · book's no-vig 42% |
| Bryce Young CAR vs GB | 1.3 | 74% | 39% | 15% | O/U 1.5 (-115 / -115) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 50% |
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What stands out
- Tough spot: TB allow only 64.9 rushing yards a game to running backs, 2nd fewest. Chuba Hubbard averages 77.1.
- Soft spot: CAR allow 115.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th most. Bucky Irving averages 79.7.
Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.
Our picks for this game
No player bet for this game.
?
A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.None at a fair price.
?
Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.No line yet.