DET @ ATL

Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET

Offense vs defense rankings

ATL offense vs DET defense

Per game	ATL offense	DET defense allows
Points	24.4#10	27.5#26
Total yards	351.1#17	412.7#32
Passing yards	211.3#24	313.5#32
Rushing yards	139.9#6	99.2#12
Yards per play	5.68#10	5.61#20
Third downs converted	39%#20	48%#29
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown	67%#11	72%#26
Sacks (taken / made)	2.3#17	3.5#1
Turnovers (given / taken)	1.4#22	1.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

DET offense vs ATL defense

Per game	DET offense	ATL defense allows
Points	30.7#2	24.7#20
Total yards	413.0#1	360.3#19
Passing yards	298.0#1	271.4#29
Rushing yards	115.0#16	88.9#4
Yards per play	6.04#5	5.27#12
Third downs converted	39%#17	43%#23
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown	70%#6	67%#20
Sacks (taken / made)	2.0#12	2.4#12
Turnovers (given / taken)	0.5#3	1.3#13

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Atlanta Falcons players

Per game this season. The second column is where DET rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Player	vs DET defense	Receiving yards	Receptions	Rushing yards	Passing yards	Targets	On field
Michael Penix Jr. QB	#32			0.8	231.4		100%
Cooper Rush QB	#32			10.0	114.5		79%
Bijan Robinson RB ▲	#10	29.0	3.6	100.6		4.6	80%
Brian Robinson RB ▼OUT	#10	5.0	0.8	35.2		1.0	18%
Drake London WR	#30	88.0	5.4	0.6		8.0	91%
Jahan Dotson WR	#30	34.6	1.7			3.6	71%
Olamide Zaccheaus WR ▲Q	#30	2.8	0.7			1.8	55%
Zachariah Branch WR ▲	#30	9.1	1.4	1.1		1.7	35%
Chris Blair WR ▼	#30	1.0	0.2			0.7	15%
Charlie Woerner TE ▲	#32	5.5	0.5	0.8		1.3	72%
Kyle Pitts TE ▲	#32	27.3	2.9			3.9	67%
Austin Hooper TE	#32	13.4	1.6			2.0	28%
Nick Muse TE	#32	0.4	0.4			0.4	18%

Detroit Lions players

Per game this season. The second column is where ATL rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Player	vs ATL defense	Receiving yards	Receptions	Rushing yards	Passing yards	Targets	On field
Jared Goff QB	#29			2.5	298.0		98%
Jahmyr Gibbs RB	#12	45.0	5.3	103.3		6.7	80%
Sione Vaki RB	#12	8.7	0.7	9.3		0.8	24%
Jameson Williams WR	#25	61.2	3.8			6.3	87%
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR	#25	87.5	7.7			11.3	82%
Isaac TeSlaa WR ▼	#25	32.8	1.7			3.5	44%
Sam LaPorta TE	#24	55.7	4.7			6.5	93%
Brock Wright TE ▲	#24	6.2	1.0			1.2	67%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

Quarterback	Expected	1+	2+	3+	Book line
Jared Goff DET vs MIN	1.5	79%	46%	20%	O/U 1.5 (-145 / +110) · our Over chance 46% · book's no-vig 55%

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What stands out

Soft spot: DET allow 312.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the most in the league. Michael Penix Jr. averages 231.4.
Soft spot: DET allow 186.8 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd most. Drake London averages 88.0.

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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

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