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BUF @ GB

Week 14 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

GB offense vs BUF defense

Per gameGB offenseBUF defense allows
Points21.4#2328.5#30
Total yards341.4#19399.7#31
Passing yards280.8#4298.7#31
Rushing yards60.6#32101.0#15
Yards per play5.45#155.66#21
Third downs converted39%#1946%#26
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown54%#2473%#27
Sacks (taken / made)1.8#101.8#22
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#201.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

BUF offense vs GB defense

Per gameBUF offenseGB defense allows
Points32.8#120.5#11
Total yards399.5#4331.8#12
Passing yards250.7#11220.9#9
Rushing yards148.8#2110.9#17
Yards per play6.60#14.77#3
Third downs converted49%#442%#20
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown74%#361%#17
Sacks (taken / made)2.0#122.8#7
Turnovers (given / taken)1.5#241.9#1

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Green Bay Packers players

Per game this season. The second column is where BUF rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs BUF defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jordan Love QB#311.3280.8100%
Josh Jacobs RB#1334.05.537.56.562%
Chris Brooks RB ▼IR#136.00.817.51.329%
MarShawn Lloyd RB ▼#139.91.618.62.126%
Matthew Golden WRQ#2677.45.40.810.386%
Christian Watson WR ▼Q#2688.55.38.365%
Savion Williams WR#2628.02.710.33.058%
Jayden Reed WRIR#2612.02.04.030%
Skyy Moore WRIR#267.01.42.828%
Bo Melton WR#264.30.61.328%
J. Michael Sturdivant WR ▲#265.40.60.724%
Tucker Kraft TE#3043.84.40.66.188%
Jonnu Smith TEOUT#3023.51.52.025%
Mark Redman TE ▼#3014.51.01.525%

Buffalo Bills players

Per game this season. The second column is where GB rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs GB defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Josh Allen QB#90.20.240.0250.70.2100%
James Cook RB#1814.81.7104.52.364%
Ty Johnson RB#1838.83.01.53.020%
Ray Davis RBQ#188.00.62.40.615%
Keon Coleman WR ▲#2147.23.24.078%
Khalil Shakir WR#2148.33.75.365%
Skyler Bell WR#211.553%
DJ Moore WRQ#2144.53.01.35.052%
Josh Palmer WR ▼#2129.31.02.825%
Dalton Kincaid TEQ#352.53.84.871%
Dawson Knox TE#36.01.31.770%
Jackson Hawes TE#30.341%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Jordan Love GB vs CAR1.681%49%23%O/U 1.5 (-163 / +128) · our Over chance 49% · book's no-vig 59%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Soft spot: BUF allow 298.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most. Jordan Love averages 280.8.
  • Tough spot: GB allow only 35.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 3rd fewest. Dalton Kincaid averages 52.5.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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