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MIA @ GB

Week 15 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

GB offense vs MIA defense

Per gameGB offenseMIA defense allows
Points21.4#2326.2#25
Total yards341.4#19346.3#16
Passing yards280.8#4236.2#18
Rushing yards60.6#32110.2#16
Yards per play5.45#155.96#26
Third downs converted39%#1954%#31
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown54%#2465%#19
Sacks (taken / made)1.8#101.0#32
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#200.8#29

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

MIA offense vs GB defense

Per gameMIA offenseGB defense allows
Points16.3#3020.5#11
Total yards307.7#28331.8#12
Passing yards176.2#30220.9#9
Rushing yards131.5#7110.9#17
Yards per play5.25#204.77#3
Third downs converted41%#1142%#20
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1561%#17
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#232.8#7
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#211.9#1

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Green Bay Packers players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIA defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jordan Love QB#181.3280.8100%
Josh Jacobs RB#2234.05.537.56.562%
Chris Brooks RB ▼IR#226.00.817.51.329%
MarShawn Lloyd RB ▼#229.91.618.62.126%
Matthew Golden WRQ#377.45.40.810.386%
Christian Watson WR ▼Q#388.55.38.365%
Savion Williams WR#328.02.710.33.058%
Jayden Reed WRIR#312.02.04.030%
Skyy Moore WRIR#37.01.42.828%
Bo Melton WR#34.30.61.328%
J. Michael Sturdivant WR ▲#35.40.60.724%
Tucker Kraft TE#2943.84.40.66.188%
Jonnu Smith TEOUT#2923.51.52.025%
Mark Redman TE ▼#2914.51.01.525%

Miami Dolphins players

Per game this season. The second column is where GB rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs GB defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Malik Willis QB#937.2176.2100%
Ollie Gordon II RB ▲#182.81.267.81.674%
De'Von Achane RB ▼IR#1816.32.342.34.041%
DJ Herman RB#189.00.51.533%
Jaylen Wright RB#187.20.213%
Malik Washington WRQ#2148.24.36.36.580%
Caleb Douglas WR ▼#2161.03.04.368%
Chris Bell WR#2119.51.34.33.260%
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR#217.21.03.640%
Jalen Tolbert WR#2111.00.51.523%
Greg Dulcich TEQ#342.63.64.470%
Will Kacmarek TEQ#34.80.61.238%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Jordan Love GB vs CAR1.681%49%23%O/U 1.5 (-163 / +128) · our Over chance 49% · book's no-vig 59%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE1.166%30%10%O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Tough spot: GB allow only 35.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 3rd fewest. Greg Dulcich averages 42.6.
  • Tough spot: MIA allow only 115.5 receiving yards a game to receivers, 3rd fewest. Christian Watson averages 88.5.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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