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CAR @ PIT

Week 16 ·

Offense vs defense rankings

PIT offense vs CAR defense

Per gamePIT offenseCAR defense allows
Points21.9#2227.6#27
Total yards348.9#18360.3#19
Passing yards242.7#18219.6#7
Rushing yards106.1#20140.7#30
Yards per play5.22#215.42#17
Third downs converted39%#2246%#27
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown50%#2880%#30
Sacks (taken / made)3.1#281.6#26
Turnovers (given / taken)1.0#151.1#15

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

CAR offense vs PIT defense

Per gameCAR offensePIT defense allows
Points25.4#919.7#5
Total yards383.1#8321.0#7
Passing yards281.1#3230.0#13
Rushing yards102.0#2191.0#7
Yards per play5.53#135.04#7
Third downs converted39%#2135%#7
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown68%#1046%#6
Sacks (taken / made)3.3#302.6#10
Turnovers (given / taken)1.1#161.4#8

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers players

Per game this season. The second column is where CAR rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs CAR defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Aaron Rodgers QB#73.3242.7100%
Jaylen Warren RB#2942.03.480.14.969%
Rico Dowdle RB#2920.53.329.54.336%
DK Metcalf WR#1553.44.61.68.394%
Germie Bernard WR ▲#1542.34.50.76.293%
Michael Pittman WR ▼IR#1529.72.34.073%
Brandon Smith WR#1512.01.01.049%
Roman Wilson WR ▼IR#1537.62.85.032%
Darnell Washington TE#1522.92.33.364%
Pat Freiermuth TE#1528.63.30.64.763%

Carolina Panthers players

Per game this season. The second column is where PIT rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs PIT defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Bryce Young QB#134.9274.489%
Chuba Hubbard RB ▲#621.43.177.13.777%
Jonathon Brooks RBIR#621.51.015.01.525%
Trevor Etienne RB ▲#65.70.72.70.719%
Tetairoa McMillan WR#1681.36.09.379%
Jalen Coker WR ▼#1660.74.57.376%
Xavier Legette WRIR#1632.01.03.052%
John Metchie III WR ▲#1619.02.03.346%
Brycen Tremayne WR ▼#1618.01.01.632%
David Moore WR#165.40.20.812%
Tommy Tremble TE#822.12.43.454%
Darren Waller TE#829.92.13.654%
Mitchell Evans TE#818.11.40.11.741%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Bryce Young CAR vs GB1.374%39%15%O/U 1.5 (-115 / -115) · our Over chance 39% · book's no-vig 50%
Aaron Rodgers PIT vs CLE1.373%38%14%O/U 1.5 (+150 / -200) · our Over chance 38% · book's no-vig 38%

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Estimates from our data, not promises. Bets lose. 21+. If betting stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

What stands out

  • Soft spot: CAR allow 115.6 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th most. Jaylen Warren averages 80.1.
  • Tough spot: PIT allow only 75.4 rushing yards a game to running backs, 6th fewest. Chuba Hubbard averages 77.1.

Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

Best bet

No player bet for this game.

Safest bet
?A lower bar than the main line that the player clears more often. It pays less.

None at a fair price.

Game call
?Our number and the sportsbook’s agree, so there is nothing to gain.

No line yet.

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