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MIN @ DET

Week 8 · · DET -3 · total 46.5

Offense vs defense rankings

DET offense vs MIN defense

Per gameDET offenseMIN defense allows
Points30.7#212.3#1
Total yards413.0#1278.7#2
Passing yards298.0#1180.8#2
Rushing yards115.0#1697.8#10
Yards per play6.04#54.47#2
Third downs converted39%#1728%#3
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown70%#623%#1
Sacks (taken / made)2.0#123.5#1
Turnovers (given / taken)0.5#31.7#3

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

MIN offense vs DET defense

Per gameMIN offenseDET defense allows
Points20.8#2427.5#26
Total yards300.7#29412.7#32
Passing yards181.3#29313.5#32
Rushing yards119.3#1299.2#12
Yards per play4.84#245.61#20
Third downs converted38%#2348%#29
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown47%#3172%#26
Sacks (taken / made)3.0#253.5#1
Turnovers (given / taken)0.7#41.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Detroit Lions players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIN rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIN defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jared Goff QB#22.5298.098%
Jahmyr Gibbs RB#1545.05.3103.36.780%
Sione Vaki RB#158.70.79.30.824%
Jameson Williams WR#561.23.86.387%
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR#587.57.711.382%
Isaac TeSlaa WR ▼#532.81.73.544%
Sam LaPorta TE#555.74.76.593%
Brock Wright TE ▲#56.21.01.267%

Minnesota Vikings players

Per game this season. The second column is where DET rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs DET defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Kyler Murray QB#3230.8198.5100%
Carson Wentz QB#322.5138.092%
Jordan Mason RB ▲#1063.51.064%
Aaron Jones RB ▼#1012.02.272.73.256%
Justin Jefferson WR ▲#3060.44.66.291%
Jordan Addison WR#3036.62.60.45.083%
Jauan Jennings WR ▼#308.60.81.663%
Tai Felton WR ▼#3010.30.81.837%
Myles Price WR#304.30.80.31.212%
Ben Yurosek TE#3210.01.01.055%
Josh Oliver TE ▼IR#3215.31.01.751%
T.J. Hockenson TE ▼#3239.54.55.340%
Gavin Bartholomew TE ▲#3218.02.32.737%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Jared Goff DET vs MIN1.579%46%20%O/U 1.5 (-145 / +110) · our Over chance 46% · book's no-vig 55%
Kyler Murray MIN vs DET1.475%40%16%O/U 1.5 (+111 / -142) · our Over chance 40% · book's no-vig 45%

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Where and weather

Ford Field. Played indoors.

What stands out

  • Soft spot: DET allow 312.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the most in the league. Kyler Murray averages 198.5.
  • Soft spot: DET allow 100.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the most in the league. T.J. Hockenson averages 39.5.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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