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DET @ MIA

Week 9 · · DET -7 · total 48.5

Offense vs defense rankings

MIA offense vs DET defense

Per gameMIA offenseDET defense allows
Points16.3#3027.5#26
Total yards307.7#28412.7#32
Passing yards176.2#30313.5#32
Rushing yards131.5#799.2#12
Yards per play5.25#205.61#20
Third downs converted41%#1148%#29
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown60%#1572%#26
Sacks (taken / made)2.7#233.5#1
Turnovers (given / taken)1.3#211.0#17

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

DET offense vs MIA defense

Per gameDET offenseMIA defense allows
Points30.7#226.2#25
Total yards413.0#1346.3#16
Passing yards298.0#1236.2#18
Rushing yards115.0#16110.2#16
Yards per play6.04#55.96#26
Third downs converted39%#1754%#31
Red-zone trips ending in a touchdown70%#665%#19
Sacks (taken / made)2.0#121.0#32
Turnovers (given / taken)0.5#30.8#29

#1 is the best of 32 teams on each side. Colors are from the offense’s side: green is good for the offense, orange is the middle, red is bad.

Player Stats

Miami Dolphins players

Per game this season. The second column is where DET rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs DET defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Malik Willis QB#3237.2176.2100%
Ollie Gordon II RB ▲#102.81.267.81.674%
De'Von Achane RB ▼IR#1016.32.342.34.041%
DJ Herman RB#109.00.51.533%
Jaylen Wright RB#107.20.213%
Malik Washington WRQ#3048.24.36.36.580%
Caleb Douglas WR ▼#3061.03.04.368%
Chris Bell WR#3019.51.34.33.260%
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR#307.21.03.640%
Jalen Tolbert WR#3011.00.51.523%
Greg Dulcich TEQ#3242.63.64.470%
Will Kacmarek TEQ#324.80.61.238%

Detroit Lions players

Per game this season. The second column is where MIA rank at stopping his position (1st allows the least). Green is a soft matchup, orange the middle, red a tough one. Tap a player for his game log.

Playervs MIA defenseReceiving yardsReceptionsRushing yardsPassing yardsTargetsOn field
Jared Goff QB#182.5298.098%
Jahmyr Gibbs RB#2245.05.3103.36.780%
Sione Vaki RB#228.70.79.30.824%
Jameson Williams WR#361.23.86.387%
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR#387.57.711.382%
Isaac TeSlaa WR ▼#332.81.73.544%
Sam LaPorta TE#2955.74.76.593%
Brock Wright TE ▲#296.21.01.267%

Passing touchdowns Beta

How many TD passes each starter throws, from his rate, his team’s expected points, red-zone share and the defense. Research, not a lean: the model is being graded in the background first (3-7 on priced lines so far).

QuarterbackExpected1+2+3+Book line
Jared Goff DET vs MIN1.579%46%20%O/U 1.5 (-145 / +110) · our Over chance 46% · book's no-vig 55%
Malik Willis MIA vs NE1.166%30%10%O/U 0.5 (-217 / +168) · our Over chance 66% · book's no-vig 65%

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Where and weather

Hard Rock Stadium. 83°F, wind 10 mph, 12% chance of rain.

What stands out

  • Soft spot: DET allow 312.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the most in the league. Malik Willis averages 176.2.
  • Soft spot: DET allow 100.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the most in the league. Greg Dulcich averages 42.6.
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Worked out automatically from this week’s numbers. Notes to help you think, not picks.

Our picks for this game

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