NFL prop board: week 8
Every prop the books have priced, with how often he has cleared the number, the best price, and our chance next to the book’s. Tap a name for his game log.
Game projections
Our margin and total for every game next to the book’s line. Spread leans are not shown yet: they appear once this season’s record holds above 52.4% after 100 graded games (now 22-20 (52%) of 100). Total leans are not shown: they have tested below break-even. Tap a game for the full matchup.
| Game | Kickoff | Book | Our number | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL @ BUF | BUF -3 · 54.5 | BUF by 3.1 · 57.8 | Skip | not shown | |
| TEN @ CIN | CIN -12.5 · 46.5 | CIN by 11.1 · 42.5 | Skip | not shown | |
| ARI @ DAL | DAL -7 · 54.5 | DAL by 7.4 · 54.4 | Skip | not shown | |
| MIN @ DET | DET -3 · 46.5 | MIN by 2.1 · 44.4 | not shown | not shown | |
| IND @ JAX | JAX -10 · 46.5 | JAX by 9.2 · 45.7 | Skip | not shown | |
| LV @ NYJ | NYJ -1.5 · 45.5 | NYJ by 1.9 · 47.5 | Skip | not shown | |
| CLE @ PIT | PIT -3.5 · 39.5 | PIT by 3.2 · 39 | Skip | not shown | |
| ATL @ TB | TB -2.5 · 43.5 | TB by 2.9 · 41.8 | Skip | not shown | |
| LAC @ LA | LA -6.5 · 45.5 | LA by 9.8 · 39.9 | not shown | not shown | |
| KC @ DEN | KC -1.5 · 40.5 | KC by 2.6 · 41 | Skip | not shown | |
| NE @ MIA | NE -7 · 43.5 | NE by 5.8 · 45.2 | Skip | not shown | |
| PHI @ WAS | WAS -6 · 40.5 | WAS by 3.6 · 46.7 | Skip | not shown | |
| CHI @ SEA | SEA -3 · 46.5 | SEA by 2.0 · 41.7 | Skip | not shown | |
| JAX @ BAL | BAL -3 · 48.5 | JAX by 2.3 · 47.7 | not shown | not shown | |
| CIN @ ATL | CIN -3 · 49.5 | CIN by 3.2 · 46.9 | Skip | not shown | |
| DEN @ CAR | DEN -2.5 · 44.5 | CAR by 0.3 · 45 | Skip | not shown | |
| DAL @ IND | DAL -4.5 · 51.5 | DAL by 1.7 · 51.9 | Skip | not shown | |
| NYJ @ KC | KC -9.5 · 43.5 | KC by 6.9 · 42.9 | Skip | not shown | |
| DET @ MIA | DET -7 · 48.5 | DET by 5.4 · 53.6 | Skip | not shown | |
| CLE @ NO | NO -2.5 · 43.5 | CLE by 1.0 · 44.2 | not shown | not shown | |
| NYG @ PHI | NYG -1.5 · 40.5 | NYG by 4.1 · 45 | Skip | not shown | |
| LA @ WAS | LA -5.5 · 48.5 | LA by 3.9 · 48.1 | Skip | not shown | |
| HOU @ LAC | HOU -3.5 · 42.5 | HOU by 4.0 · 41.2 | Skip | not shown | |
| LV @ SF | SF -9.5 · 48.5 | SF by 8.5 · 51.3 | Skip | not shown | |
| GB @ NE | NE -2.5 · 47.5 | NE by 1.8 · 43.2 | Skip | not shown | |
| ARI @ SEA | SEA -10.5 · 44.5 | SEA by 10.2 · 43.8 | Skip | not shown | |
| TB @ CHI | CHI -6 · 47.5 | CHI by 3.6 · 42.3 | Skip | not shown | |
| BUF @ MIN | BUF -2.5 · 47.5 | MIN by 3.9 · 46.5 | not shown | not shown |
How the leans have tested (graded against the closing line, shown or not): Spread leans, 2025: 48% of 85 · Over/under leans, 2025: 53% of 98 · Spread leans, 2026: 52% of 42 · Over/under leans, 2026: 32% of 38. Break-even at the usual -110 is 52.4%. Total leans are losing and are not shown; spread leans are hidden until the record above earns them.